Sport Picks
Los Caimanes vs Alianza Atl. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 2 2019 
Match Events
4'
4'
Carty G.
47'
47'
Ramirez J.
61'
61'
Perlaza V.
AI Match Summary
Alianza Atl. in this Liga 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Alianza Atl..
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
24%
20%
56%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Alianza Atl.
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
56%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Alianza Atl. lately — more wins on the board than Los Caimanes.
- Win probability leans Alianza Atl.'s way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Alianza Atl. have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Los Caimanes Clean Sheet 18%
Alianza Atl. Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Los Caimanes | Alianza Atl. |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 6 | 17 |
| Draws | 6 | 3 |
| Losses | 18 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.17 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 7, 2019 Liga 2
Los Caimanes vs Alianza Atl.
1:2
May 25, 2019 Liga 2
Alianza Atl. vs Los Caimanes
3:0
Aug 29, 2018 Liga 2
Los Caimanes vs Alianza Atl.
0:2
May 20, 2018 Liga 2
Alianza Atl. vs Los Caimanes
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Los Caimanes Compare
Top Goalscorer Carty G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71
Alianza Atl. Compare
Top Goalscorer Ramirez J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Perlaza V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Los Caimanes 12 / 100
Alianza Atl. 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Los Caimanes Alianza Atl.
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Alianza Atl. Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Alianza Atl.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Los Caimanes scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.
Recent resilience: Los Caimanes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Alianza Atl.
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Los Caimanes
(Home) 22 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1 Los Caimanes
17 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2 Los Caimanes
14 Nov
Credicoop San Cristobal
1 : 1 Los Caimanes
10 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4 : 0 Los Caimanes
07 Nov
Deportivo Maristas
0 : 0 Los Caimanes
Page 1 of 6
08 Nov
Los Caimanes
1 : 3 Los Chankas
26 Oct
Los Caimanes
0 : 0 Santos FC
13 Oct
Los Caimanes
2 : 5 Atletico Grau
28 Sept
Los Caimanes
2 : 3 Cienciano
14 Sept
Los Caimanes
3 : 0 Sport Victoria
Page 1 of 3
Alianza Atl.
(Away) 06 Oct
Alianza Atl.
3 : 0 Sport Boys
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5 Alianza Atl.
18 Sept
Alianza Atl.
2 : 1 Comerciantes Unidos
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
04 Sept
Alianza Atl.
3 : 2 Cajamarca
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Sport Boys
2 : 5 Alianza Atl.
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
30 Aug
Moquegua
1 : 4 Alianza Atl.
15 Aug
AD Tarma
1 : 1 Alianza Atl.
02 Aug
A. Lima
3 : 1 Alianza Atl.
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cienciano | 22 | 14 | 2 | 6 | 56:26 | 44 |
| 2 | Alianza Atl. | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 45:21 | 43 |
| 3 | Juan Aurich | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 35:24 | 42 |
| 4 | Atletico Grau | 22 | 13 | 2 | 7 | 52:30 | 41 |
| 5 | Santos FC | 22 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 29:21 | 41 |
| 6 | Deportivo Coopsol | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 39:27 | 39 |
| 7 | Comerciantes Unidos | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | 32:33 | 33 |
| 8 | Union Huaral | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 30:29 | 31 |
| 9 | Los Chankas | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 25:33 | 30 |
| 10 | Sport Loreto | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 28:46 | 15 |
| 11 | Los Caimanes | 22 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 21:55 | 5 |
| 12 | Sport Victoria | 22 | 2 | 1 | 19 | 9:56 | 7 |
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Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
