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Los Caimanes vs Atletico Grau

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Aponza S.
24' Event
Huaccha R.
44' Event
Gonzales D.

AI Match Summary

Atletico Grau in this Liga 2 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Atletico Grau.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Los Caimanes
20%
Draws
44%
Atletico Grau
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico Grau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico Grau lately — more wins on the board than Los Caimanes.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Los Caimanes taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Atletico Grau have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Los Caimanes Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Caimanes Atletico Grau
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 1.1 1.35
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 13, 2019 Liga 2
Los Caimanes vs Atletico Grau
2:5
Jul 21, 2019 Liga 2
Atletico Grau vs Los Caimanes
3:2
Oct 28, 2018 Liga 2
Atletico Grau vs Los Caimanes
5:1
Jul 15, 2018 Liga 2
Los Caimanes vs Atletico Grau
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Caimanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Barrena C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Velazquez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Atletico Grau Compare

Top Goalscorer Aponza S.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzales D.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Caimanes 36 / 100
Atletico Grau 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Caimanes Atletico Grau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 5.25 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Los Caimanes scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Atletico Grau has conceded goals in 74% of their last 31 outings.

Los Caimanes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Atletico Grau
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Caimanes

(Home)
22 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
3 : 1
Los Caimanes
17 Nov
Parachique
1 : 2
Los Caimanes
14 Nov
Credicoop San Cristobal
1 : 1
Los Caimanes
10 Nov
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
4 : 0
Los Caimanes
07 Nov
Deportivo Maristas
0 : 0
Los Caimanes
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Atletico Grau

(Away)
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cienciano 22 14 2 6 56:26 44
2 Alianza Atl. 22 13 4 5 45:21 43
3 Juan Aurich 22 13 3 6 35:24 42
4 Atletico Grau 22 13 2 7 52:30 41
5 Santos FC 22 12 5 5 29:21 41
6 Deportivo Coopsol 22 12 3 7 39:27 39
7 Comerciantes Unidos 22 10 3 9 32:33 33
8 Union Huaral 22 8 7 7 30:29 31
9 Los Chankas 22 9 3 10 25:33 30
10 Sport Loreto 22 5 3 14 28:46 15
11 Los Caimanes 22 2 2 18 21:55 5
12 Sport Victoria 22 2 1 19 9:56 7
Promotion - Liga 1 2020 (Apertura)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga 2 2019 (Play Offs)