Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas, Andahuaylas
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Rizzo G.
Assist: Quintana A.
42' Event
Pimienta C.
46'
Sub
Rodriguez D. In: Neira C.
Out: Rodriguez D.

AI Match Summary

Los Chankas in this Liga 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Los Chankas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Los Chankas
15%
Draws
85%
Atletico Grau
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Atletico Grau

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Los Chankas have won more games recently than Atletico Grau.
  • Model gives Atletico Grau a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico Grau Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Chankas Atletico Grau
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 11
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau
2:0
Aug 10, 2025 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau
3:2
Mar 10, 2025 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Los Chankas
2:1
Aug 21, 2024 Liga 1
Atletico Grau vs Los Chankas
1:1
Mar 15, 2024 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Atletico Grau
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Chankas Compare

Top Goalscorer Rizzo G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pimienta C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Atletico Grau Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Chankas 10 / 100
Atletico Grau 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Chankas Atletico Grau

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico Grau Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Chankas's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Atletico Grau's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Atletico Grau registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Los Chankas VS Atletico Grau
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Chankas

(Home)
12 Sept
Los Chankas
1 : 2
FC Cajamarca
06 Sept
Sporting Cristal
5 : 0
Los Chankas
29 Aug
Los Chankas
3 : 4
Juan Pablo II
23 Aug
Universitario de Deportes
3 : 0
Los Chankas
15 Aug
Los Chankas
0 : 3
FBC Melgar
Page 1 of 6

Atletico Grau

(Away)
19 Sept
Sporting Cristal
3 : 1
Atletico Grau
13 Sept
Atletico Grau
3 : 1
Alianza Atl.
06 Sept
Deportivo Garcilaso
4 : 2
Atletico Grau
01 Sept
Atletico Grau
1 : 0
FBC Melgar
26 Aug
Atletico Grau
2 : 3
Sport Boys
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 A. Lima 17 12 4 1 30:8 40
2 Los Chankas 17 10 4 3 25:21 34
3 Cienciano 17 10 3 4 34:22 33
4 Universitario de Deportes 17 8 5 4 24:15 29
5 FBC Melgar 17 8 4 5 29:20 28
6 Cusco 17 8 3 6 21:24 27
7 Deportivo Garcilaso 17 7 5 5 21:18 26
8 Alianza Atl. 17 5 6 6 20:18 21
9 Comerciantes Unidos 17 5 6 6 18:20 21
10 AD Tarma 17 5 5 7 22:21 20
11 Sport Boys 17 5 5 7 15:19 20
12 Sporting Cristal 17 5 4 8 28:30 19
13 Cajamarca 17 4 6 7 21:26 18
14 Moquegua 17 5 3 9 17:24 18
15 FC Cajamarca 17 4 5 8 23:28 17
16 Atletico Grau 17 4 4 9 12:18 16
17 Sport Huancayo 17 4 4 9 21:31 16
18 Juan Pablo II 17 4 4 9 22:40 16
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)