Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Los Chankas vs Moquegua

Peru Peru

Liga 1 Estadio Municipal Los Chankas
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Chankas play Moquegua in the Liga 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Los Chankas averaged 1.36 goals scored and 1.04 conceded. Moquegua averaged 1.3 goals scored and 1.37 conceded. In past meetings, Los Chankas won 1, Moquegua won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 17, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.13 for Los Chankas and 1.25 for Moquegua. This points to a Los Chankas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Los Chankas
17%
Draws
30%
Moquegua
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Los Chankas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / High Confidence
  • Los Chankas picked up more points recently compared to Moquegua.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Over 3.5 Goals 31%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Los Chankas Clean Sheet 19%
Moquegua Clean Sheet 13%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 63%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Chankas Moquegua
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 4 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.36 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Liga 1
Los Chankas vs Moquegua
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Chankas Compare

Top Goalscorer Takeuchi O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Moquegua Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Chankas 52 / 100
Moquegua 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Chankas Moquegua

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Chankas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Los Chankas & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +13.2%
2.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Los Chankas attacking → ← attacking Moquegua

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Chankas scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Moquegua let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Los Chankas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Moquegua lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

55 Points in last 5 42
0.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1A. Lima17124130:840
2Los Chankas17104325:2134
3Cienciano17103434:2233
4Universitario de Deportes1785424:1529
5FBC Melgar1784529:2028
6Cusco1783621:2427
7Deportivo Garcilaso1775521:1826
8Alianza Atl.1756620:1821
9Comerciantes Unidos1756618:2021
10AD Tarma1755722:2120
11Sport Boys1755715:1920
12Sporting Cristal1754828:3019
13Cajamarca1746721:2618
14Moquegua1753917:2418
15FC Cajamarca1745823:2817
16Atletico Grau1744912:1816
17Sport Huancayo1744921:3116
18Juan Pablo II1744922:4016