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Los Llanos vs Arucas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
de Leon J.
50' Event
Martin F.
57' Event
Cencillo X.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 game between Los Llanos and Arucas finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Llanos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Los Llanos
30%
Draws
29%
Arucas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Los Llanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Los Llanos come out ahead of Arucas on wins alone.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Los Llanos taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Los Llanos Clean Sheet 20%
Arucas Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Llanos Arucas
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 7 6
Draws 6 11
Losses 16 14
Goals Scored 0.76 0.94
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.96
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Los Llanos vs Arucas
4:0
Oct 19, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Los Llanos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Llanos Compare

Top Goalscorer de Leon J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martin F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Arucas Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.53

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Llanos 49 / 100
Arucas 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Llanos Arucas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Llanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arucas conceded in 81% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Los Llanos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Los Llanos found the back of the net in 48% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Los Llanos VS Arucas
1 Goals Scored 1.13
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.5
40% Over 1.5 100%
40% Over 2.5 50%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Llanos

(Home)
03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
2 : 2
Los Llanos
19 Sept
Los Llanos
2 : 1
CD Laguna
12 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
Los Llanos
11 May
Los Llanos
1 : 2
Panaderia
Page 1 of 6

Arucas

(Away)
10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2
Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1
Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1
Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0
Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0
San Bartolome
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Las Palmas B 34 22 10 2 66:17 76
2 UD San Fernando 34 21 10 3 58:20 73
3 Tamaraceite 34 18 9 7 48:29 63
4 Ibarra 34 18 5 11 49:40 59
5 Mensajero 34 16 8 10 50:37 56
6 Lanzarote 34 16 7 11 56:33 55
7 Panaderia 34 13 11 10 45:39 50
8 CD Marino 34 12 11 11 43:45 47
9 Arucas 34 12 9 13 38:36 45
10 San Bartolome 34 10 15 9 43:35 45
11 Villa Santa Brigida 34 10 11 13 34:42 41
12 Herbania 34 10 10 14 33:41 40
13 CD Santa Ursula 34 10 10 14 29:42 40
14 San Miguel 34 10 7 17 36:54 37
15 CD Buzanada 34 9 5 20 27:54 32
16 Estrella 34 7 9 18 30:57 30
17 Los Llanos 34 7 7 20 25:52 28
18 Union Viera 34 3 10 21 28:65 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2024/2025 (Play Offs)