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Los Llanos vs Union Sur Yaiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Manzi P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 12 game between Los Llanos and Union Sur Yaiza finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Los Llanos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Los Llanos
20%
Draws
29%
Union Sur Yaiza
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Los Llanos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Union Sur Yaiza's 0.8 goals per match outpaces what Los Llanos have produced (0.76).
  • Win probability leans Los Llanos's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Union Sur Yaiza have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Los Llanos Clean Sheet 20%
Union Sur Yaiza Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Llanos Union Sur Yaiza
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.76 0.8
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.02
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Los Llanos vs Union Sur Yaiza
1:0
Mar 4, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Union Sur Yaiza vs Los Llanos
1:0
Oct 12, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Los Llanos vs Union Sur Yaiza
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Los Llanos Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzi P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Union Sur Yaiza Compare

Avg xG / game 0.93
Avg xA / game 0.57

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Llanos 40 / 100
Union Sur Yaiza 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Llanos Union Sur Yaiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Los Llanos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Union Sur Yaiza let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: Los Llanos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Union Sur Yaiza's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Los Llanos's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Los Llanos VS Union Sur Yaiza
1 Goals Scored 1.25
0.8 Goals Conceded 1.25
40% Over 1.5 75%
40% Over 2.5 63%
20% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Los Llanos

(Home)
03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
UD Playas de Sotavento
2 : 2
Los Llanos
19 Sept
Los Llanos
2 : 1
CD Laguna
12 Sept
Real Union Tenerife
1 : 0
Los Llanos
11 May
Los Llanos
1 : 2
Panaderia
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Union Sur Yaiza

(Away)
03 Oct
Los Llanos
1 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
26 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 0
UD San Fernando
19 Sept
Las Palmas C
4 : 2
Union Sur Yaiza
11 Sept
Union Sur Yaiza
0 : 1
San Bartolome
10 May
Panaderia
0 : 0
Union Sur Yaiza
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD San Fernando 4 3 0 1 11:2 9
2 Real Union Tenerife 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
3 Mensajero 4 3 0 1 4:2 9
4 San Bartolome 4 2 2 0 7:4 8
5 CD Marino 4 2 1 1 12:6 7
6 Las Palmas C 4 2 1 1 8:5 7
7 San Miguel 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
8 Panaderia 4 2 1 1 10:8 7
9 Los Llanos 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
10 Lanzarote 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
11 Villa Santa Brigida 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
12 Tenerife C 4 1 1 2 6:8 4
13 Estrella 4 1 1 2 6:9 4
14 Anaza 4 1 1 2 5:8 4
15 Union Sur Yaiza 4 1 0 3 4:6 3
16 CD Laguna 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
17 Villaverde Norte 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 UD Playas de Sotavento 4 0 1 3 3:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 (Play Offs)