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Los Villares vs Los Molinos CF

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Los Villares play Los Molinos CF in the Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015. It looks like a close match. Recently, Los Villares averaged 1.16 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Los Molinos CF averaged 0.93 goals scored and 2.27 conceded. In past meetings, Los Villares won 2, Los Molinos CF won 0, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 22, 2015 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.92 for Los Villares and 1.13 for Los Molinos CF. This points to a Los Villares double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Los Villares
32%
Draws
25%
Los Molinos CF
Draw rate projection: 32% Favored: Los Villares

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / High Confidence
  • Los Villares picked up more points recently compared to Los Molinos CF.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.92 vs 1.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 60%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 60%
Over 3.5 Goals 36%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%
Los Villares Clean Sheet 21%
Los Molinos CF Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Los Villares Los Molinos CF
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 17
Goals Scored 1.16 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.52 2.27

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Los Molinos CF
0:0
Oct 12, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Molinos CF vs Los Villares
0:1
Jan 26, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Molinos CF vs Los Villares
1:2
Sep 15, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Los Villares vs Los Molinos CF
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Los Villares 43 / 100
Los Molinos CF 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Los Villares Los Molinos CF

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Los Villares or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +23%
2.86
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11%
1.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Los Villares attacking → ← attacking Los Molinos CF

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Los Villares scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Los Molinos CF let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Los Villares went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Los Molinos CF lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 25
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Linares38277488:2688
2Malaga B38236969:3675
3UD San Pedro382110765:3573
4Martos382251166:4271
5Loja38209955:3669
6Huetor Tajar3817111053:3762
7Los Villares3815131043:3758
8Maracena381691366:5257
9Guadix381118949:4951
10Mancha3813111436:3450
11Velez3813101549:4749
12Espanol Alquian381461853:7048
13Ejido381381755:7547
14CD Ronda381271952:6343
15Antequera3810121651:5542
16Alhaurin381181943:7441
17Atarfe Industrial389101953:7037
18Villacarrillo38872332:6431
19Atletico Melilla38792229:5830
20Los Molinos CF38682432:7926