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Lossiemouth vs Keith

Scotland Scotland

Highland League 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lossiemouth play Keith in the Highland League 2025/2026. Keith are favorites here. Recently, Lossiemouth averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.13 conceded. Keith averaged 1.69 goals scored and 1.14 conceded. In past meetings, Lossiemouth won 2, Keith won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 4, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.76 for Lossiemouth and 2.13 for Keith. This points to a Keith double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Lossiemouth
15%
Draws
69%
Keith
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Keith

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Lossiemouth picked up more points recently compared to Keith.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.76 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39%
Lossiemouth Clean Sheet 10%
Keith Clean Sheet 19%
First Half Goal 79%
Second Half Goal 84%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lossiemouth Keith
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 3 17
Draws 5 6
Losses 22 6
Goals Scored 0.6 1.69
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 Highland League
Keith vs Lossiemouth
5:0
Nov 1, 2025 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Keith
0:2
Jan 25, 2025 Highland League
Lossiemouth vs Keith
2:0
Sep 7, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Lossiemouth
0:4
Mar 16, 2024 Highland League
Keith vs Lossiemouth
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lossiemouth 16 / 100
Keith 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lossiemouth Keith

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Keith Win (2)
Secondary Pick Keith & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +100%
12.50
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lossiemouth attacking → ← attacking Keith

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lossiemouth scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Keith let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Lossiemouth went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Keith lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

14 Points in last 5 57
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.75
2.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Brora Rangers34236597:3575
2Brechin34235678:2374
3Formartine Utd342011365:2771
4Fraserburgh34215875:3968
5Clachnacuddin34187978:4061
6Banks O' Dee341610858:3558
7Keith341771052:4758
8Buckie Thistle341651362:4753
9Nairn County341541556:5249
10Turriff United341391260:5048
11Huntly3411101346:4343
12Forres Mechanics341171652:6740
13Strathspey Thistle341321949:8338
14Deveronvale341141946:8737
15Inverurie Loco Works34961947:6630
16Wick Academy34772042:6528
17Lossiemouth34452520:7617
18Rothes34142933:1347