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Lota Schwager vs Osorno

Chile Chile

Segunda Division
Sun, Jul 12, 2026
2 - 2
07:30 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Jopia Arias C.
37'
Gutierrez J.
40'
Ambiado A.

AI Match Summary

Lota Schwager host Osorno in the Segunda Division. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Osorno have shipped 0.38 goals a game lately, while Lota Schwager have conceded 1 and scored 0.63. Head-to-head, Lota Schwager have won 4 to Osorno's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 0.51 vs 0.88, favoring Osorno. API prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Lota Schwager
30%
Draws
34%
Osorno
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Lota Schwager

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Osorno come out ahead of Lota Schwager on wins alone.
  • Lota Schwager are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Segunda Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Lota Schwager have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Lota Schwager Clean Sheet 20%
Osorno Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lota Schwager Osorno
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 5
Goals Scored 0.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1 0.38
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Segunda Division
Osorno vs Lota Schwager
1:0
Aug 7, 2010 Liga de Ascenso
Osorno vs Lota Schwager
0:2
Jun 20, 2010 Liga de Ascenso
Lota Schwager vs Osorno
2:0
Apr 4, 2010 Liga de Ascenso
Osorno vs Lota Schwager
2:3
Feb 7, 2010 Liga de Ascenso
Lota Schwager vs Osorno
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lota Schwager Compare

Top Goalscorer Torres S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Osorno Compare

Top Goalscorer Arias J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bielkiewicz D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lota Schwager 36 / 100
Osorno 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lota Schwager Osorno

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lota Schwager found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Lota Schwager stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Osorno let in goals in 57% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Lota Schwager VS Osorno
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 25%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Brujas Salamanca1257011:522
2Concon National1263316:1021
3Santiago City1255218:1920
4Trasandino1253419:1718
5Real San Joaquin1134415:1213
6Atletico Colina1123610:139
7Provincial Ovalle1213811:246
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Osorno1165013:323
2Colchagua CD1164115:722
3Linares Unido1151512:1216
4General Velasquez114169:1513
5Lota Schwager113359:1112
6Deportes Rengo1132610:1511
7S. Morning122469:1410