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Loudoun United vs Ottawa Fury

USA USA

USL Championship 2019
Our Tip

Match Events

1' Event
Wild G.
13'
Amoh E.
23' Event
Oliveira K.
Assist: Francois C.

AI Match Summary

The USL Championship 2019 game between Loudoun United and Ottawa Fury finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ottawa Fury.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Loudoun United
33%
Draws
40%
Ottawa Fury
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Ottawa Fury

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ottawa Fury come out ahead of Loudoun United on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ottawa Fury a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Loudoun United Clean Sheet 19%
Ottawa Fury Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loudoun United Ottawa Fury
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 10
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 17, 2019 USL Championship
Loudoun United vs Ottawa Fury
1:3
Apr 13, 2019 USL Championship
Ottawa Fury vs Loudoun United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Loudoun United Compare

Top Goalscorer Wild G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ottawa Fury Compare

Top Goalscorer Oliveira K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Francois C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loudoun United 28 / 100
Ottawa Fury 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loudoun United Ottawa Fury

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OTT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ottawa Fury conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Loudoun United found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Loudoun United has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Loudoun United VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pittsburgh Riverhounds341911458:3068
2Nashville SC34207759:2667
3Indy Eleven34196948:2963
4Louisville City34179858:4160
5Tampa Bay341610861:3358
6New York Red Bulls II341761174:5157
7North Carolina FC341681057:3756
8Ottawa Fury3414101050:4352
9Charleston3411131044:4446
10Birmingham Legion341271535:5143
11St. Louis FC341191440:4142
12Loudoun United341161759:6539
13Charlotte Independence349111442:5338
14Atlanta United 234981745:7735
15Memphis 90134971837:5234
16Bethlehem Steel FC34871949:7831
17Hartford Athletic34852149:8029
18Sporting Kansas City II34682046:8026
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Phoenix Rising34246489:3678
2Reno 1868341861072:5160
3Monterey Bay34169958:4457
4Real Monarchs341681071:5356
5Orange County SC341591054:4354
6El Paso Locomotive3413111042:3650
7Sacramento Republic341461450:4348
8Austin Bold341391253:5248
9Ventura County3412121059:6248
10New Mexico3411131059:5746
11San Antonio FC341291362:5745
12Rio Grande Valley FC Toros341181550:5841
13Las Vegas Lights341181546:5641
14Portland Timbers 2341081665:7138
15Oklahoma City Energy FC349111445:5838
16FC Tulsa348101645:6934
17Tacoma Defiance34871942:8231
18Colorado Springs34762131:6527