Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Loughgall vs Newry City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

NIFL Championship Lakeview Park, Loughgall
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Loughgall in this NIFL Championship matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loughgall.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Loughgall
35%
Draws
39%
Newry City
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Newry City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Newry City haven't matched Loughgall's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Newry City a 39% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Loughgall Clean Sheet 10%
Newry City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loughgall Newry City
Matches Played 34 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.41 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 NIFL Championship
Loughgall vs Newry City
2:1
Jul 29, 2025 Club Friendly
Newry City vs Loughgall
0:3
Jul 16, 2024 Club Friendly
Newry City vs Loughgall
1:1
Apr 27, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Newry City vs Loughgall
1:4
Feb 13, 2024 NIFL Premiership
Loughgall vs Newry City
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loughgall 14 / 100
Newry City 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loughgall Newry City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Newry City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loughgall found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Newry City conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Loughgall has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Loughgall VS Newry City
1.13 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Loughgall

(Home)
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Glenavon
4 : 1
Loughgall
19 Sept
Loughgall
0 : 0
Armagh
12 Sept
Queens University
1 : 0
Loughgall
05 Sept
Loughgall
1 : 6
Ballinamallard
Page 1 of 7

Newry City

(Away)
03 Oct
Loughgall
2 : 1
Newry City
25 Sept
Newry City
3 : 2
Harland & Wolff
18 Sept
Newry City
1 : 1
Annagh
11 Sept
Strabane Athletic
2 : 2
Newry City
04 Sept
Newry City
2 : 2
Armagh
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Annagh 10 6 3 1 24:13 21
2 Glenavon 10 6 2 2 25:13 20
3 Newington FC 10 6 2 2 24:18 20
4 Queens University 10 6 1 3 20:7 19
5 Institute 10 5 1 4 20:17 16
6 Harland & Wolff 10 5 0 5 18:16 15
7 Newry City 10 4 3 3 16:18 15
8 Warrenpoint 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Ballinamallard 10 4 2 4 16:16 14
10 Loughgall 10 3 4 3 14:19 13
11 Ards 10 3 3 4 12:13 12
12 Dundela 10 2 5 3 18:20 11
13 Moyola 10 3 2 5 10:20 11
14 Strabane Athletic 10 2 3 5 10:19 9
15 Rathfriland Rangers 10 2 0 8 9:22 6
16 Armagh 10 0 5 5 8:16 5
Promotion - NIFL Championship (Promotion Group)
Relegation - NIFL Championship (Relegation Group)