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Louletano vs Operario

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Ferreira L.

AI Match Summary

Louletano in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group D 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Louletano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Louletano
15%
Draws
0%
Operario
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Louletano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Louletano lately — more wins on the board than Operario.
  • Louletano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Louletano Clean Sheet 68%
Operario Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Louletano Operario
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 18 7
Draws 8 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.53 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.75 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2025 Taça de Portugal
Louletano vs Operario
5:0
Apr 6, 2025 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Louletano vs Operario
1:0
Dec 15, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Group D
Operario vs Louletano
1:1
Feb 4, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Operario vs Louletano
1:2
Sep 17, 2017 Campeonato de Portugal - Group E
Louletano vs Operario
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Louletano Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferreira L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Operario Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louletano 95 / 100
Operario 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Louletano Operario

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Louletano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 2:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Louletano scored in 84% of their last 32 outings.

Operario let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Away concern: Operario has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Louletano VS -
2.25 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Louletano

(Home)
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
06 Sept
Louletano
1 : 0
Lusitano GC
30 Aug
Castrense
0 : 1
Louletano
23 Aug
Caldas SC
2 : 4
Louletano
15 Aug
Louletano
1 : 3
CF Os Belenenses
Page 1 of 7

Operario

(Away)
21 Sept
Louletano
5 : 0
Operario
13 Apr
Operario
2 : 4
Sintrense
06 Apr
Louletano
1 : 0
Operario
29 Mar
Operario
0 : 2
Industria
16 Mar
Moncarapachense
3 : 1
Operario
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lusitano GC 26 18 4 4 57:14 58
2 Amora 26 17 6 3 41:19 57
3 Sintrense 26 16 4 6 39:26 52
4 Moncarapachense 26 15 6 5 39:19 51
5 Louletano 26 15 5 6 44:20 50
6 Serpa 26 13 6 7 42:27 45
7 Estrela da Amadora B 26 7 9 10 35:31 30
8 Lagoa 26 7 9 10 26:35 30
9 Industria 26 8 5 13 35:42 29
10 Fabril do Barreiro 26 6 9 11 21:32 27
11 Moura AC 26 7 5 14 27:50 26
12 Operario 26 6 5 15 22:43 23
13 FC Barreirense 26 5 7 14 31:47 22
14 Estrela Vendas Novas 26 1 2 23 12:66 5
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2024/2025 (Promotion Group)