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Louny vs Probostov

Czech Republic Czech Republic

Ustecky KP
Sun, Sep 6, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Louny host Probostov in the Ustecky KP. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Louny have averaged 1.71 scored and 2.32 conceded recently, against Probostov's 3.26 scored and 1.97 conceded. Past meetings favor Louny slightly — 1-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 29, 2025, ending 5:4. xG projections (1.69 - 3.06) back Probostov to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Louny
20%
Draws
47%
Probostov
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Probostov

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Probostov carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 92%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 92%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Louny Clean Sheet 10%
Probostov Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Louny Probostov
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 10 23
Draws 5 3
Losses 16 5
Goals Scored 1.71 3.26
Goals Conceded 2.32 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 3.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Ustecky KP
Probostov vs Louny
5:4
Sep 1, 2024 Ustecky KP
Louny vs Probostov
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Louny 34 / 100
Probostov 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Louny Probostov

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PROB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Louny scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Probostov let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

H2H data points to 7.50 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Louny stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Louny VS Probostov
1.5 Goals Scored 3.63
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Louny

(Home)
29 Aug
Ledvice
1 : 6
Louny
21 Aug
Louny
0 : 0
Zatec
15 Aug
Litomericko
0 : 4
Louny
13 Jun
Louny
3 : 6
Spoje Prague
06 Jun
Ujezd Prague
4 : 1
Louny
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Probostov

(Away)
29 Aug
Probostov
5 : 1
Oldrichov
22 Aug
Ledvice
2 : 1
Probostov
15 Aug
Probostov
5 : 4
Srbice
13 Jun
Probostov
2 : 2
Oldrichov
07 Jun
Banik Most - Sous B
2 : 4
Probostov
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