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Stadium Background

Lower Breck vs Thornaby - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

FA Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 5-1. The second leg ended 5-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Lower Breck
20%
Draws
20%
Thornaby
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lower Breck

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

60% / High Confidence
  • Thornaby haven't matched Lower Breck's recent run of results.
  • 60% — that's where the model lands on Lower Breck taking it.
  • Lower Breck have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Lower Breck, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Lower Breck Clean Sheet 20%
Thornaby Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lower Breck Thornaby
Matches Played 11 5
Wins 6 0
Draws 0 2
Losses 5 3
Goals Scored 2.27 1
Goals Conceded 1.18 4
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 FA Cup
Lower Breck vs Thornaby
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lower Breck 85 / 100
Thornaby 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lower Breck Thornaby

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lower Breck Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lower Breck found the back of the net in 91% of recent matches (11 games).

Thornaby's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 5 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Thornaby has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lower Breck VS Thornaby
2.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Lower Breck

(Home)
19 Sept
Lower Breck
1 : 2
Chester
12 Sept
Stalybridge
3 : 2
Lower Breck
05 Sept
Lower Breck
5 : 1
Thornaby
29 Aug
Lower Breck
4 : 0
North Ferriby FC
04 Oct
Stockton
2 : 0
Lower Breck
Page 1 of 3

Thornaby

(Away)
05 Sept
Lower Breck
5 : 1
Thornaby
19 Jul
Thornaby
0 : 5
Hebburn Town
26 Jul
Thornaby
2 : 2
Spennymoor
10 Sept
Ossett United
6 : 0
Thornaby
07 Sept
Thornaby
2 : 2
Ossett United

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Harborough -
TBD -
Stourbridge 1
Rushall 3
FC Witham Town 3
Stotfold 2
St. Albans 2
Hashtag 0
AFC Emley 3
Bishop Auckland 1
TBD -
Spennymoor -
Lower Breck 5
Thornaby 1
TBD -
Chester -
North Ferriby FC 0
Barton Town 2
Bourne 2
Boldmere St Michaels 3
Warrington Rylands 3
Hyde 1
TBD -
Chorley -
Wellingborough 3
Kettering 4
Quorn 2
Shepshed 1
Knowle 1
Worcester 2
Alfreton 0
Stratford 2
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Northampton on Chenecks 0
TBD -
Hereford -
Halesowen 3
Basford Utd. 1
Stamford 0
Mickleover 1
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton -
TBD -
Whitby 2
Ashton United 5
South Shields -
TBD -
Avro 0
Witton Albion 2
Biggleswade Town 1
Hitchin 4
Grays 0
Leiston 5
Hednesford -
TBD -
Coventry United 2
Bedworth United 1
Hebburn Town -
TBD -
Stockton 3
Guiseley 4
Curzon Ashton 1
Bradford PA 2
Lancaster 3
Tadcaster Albion 1
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunstable 1
Woodford Town 3
Mulbarton Wanderers 3
Cornard United 0
AFC Totton -
TBD -
Gloucester City 5
Mangotsfield 1
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine -
TBD -
TBD -
Radcliffe -
Shildon 2
Warrington Town 6
South Liverpool 4
Prestwich Heys 3
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Redcar Athletic 1
Stocksbridge 0
TBD -
Macclesfield -
Vauxhall 0
Dunston 2
TBD -
Scarborough Athletic -
Leamington 3
Ilkeston 1
Sherwood Colliery 2
Gainsborough 4
Northampton Sileby 0
Anstey Nomads 4
Cleethorpes 1
Newcastle Town 2
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford -
TBD -
TBD -
Worksop -
Garforth 1
United of Manchester 5
Ossett United 1
Pontefract Collieries 0
Bury FC 8
Wythenshawe FC 0
Workington 3
Marske United 0
Bromsgrove 2
Nuneaton 0
Sporting Khalsa 0
Leek Town 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrogate -
Leighton Town 1
Gorleston 4
London Lions 2
Bury Town 4
Spalding United -
TBD -
Hanley Town 2
Abbey Hulton 1
Cambridge City 6
Maldon & Tiptree 1
Yaxley 1
Buckhurst Hill 4
Alvechurch 2
Wolverhampton City 0
Lye Town 1
Racing Club Warwick 5
Desborough Town 0
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 4
Ipswich Wanderers 0
Stanway Rovers 1
Needham Market 3
TBD -
Braintree -
Morecambe -
TBD -
TBD -
Southport -
Redcar Town 1
Blyth Spartans 0
TBD -
Darlington FC -
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 1
Knaresborough Town 0
Bamber Bridge 1
Trafford 3
Northwich Victoria 2
Atherton Collieries 3
Prescot Cables 2
Horbury Town 0
Salisbury -
TBD -
Taunton Town 4
Millbrook 0
Dulwich Hamlet 4
East Grinstead Town 0
Faversham 2
Welling 3
Thame United 3
Reading City 2
Banbury 1
Exmouth Town 2
Whitehawk 2
Eastbourne Borough 4
Holmesdale 1
Windsor & Eton 5
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Truro -
Fleetlands 0
Cirencester 3
TBD -
Farnham -
Chesham -
TBD -
Ware 6
Fakenham 4
Harleston Town 3
Romford 1
Real Bedford 4
Royston Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Three Bridges 0
Kingstonian 1
Leatherhead 3
Croydon Athletic 0
Ascot United 1
Pagham 3
Hanworth Villa 4
Whitstable Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford -
TBD -
TBD -
King’s Lynn -
Hemel Hempstead -
TBD -
Wingate & Finchley 2
Felixstowe & Walton 0
Lewes 2
Cray Wanderers 3
TBD -
Maidstone -
Yate 3
Devizes Town 0
Chippenham Town 4
Havant & Waterlooville 2
Uxbridge 3
Haywards Heath 0
TBD -
Farnborough -
Baffins Milton Rovers 1
Slimbridge 4
Wells City 0
Hungerford 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bishops Cleeve 2
Poole Town 1
Tadley Calleva 3
Laverstock & Ford 1
Westfield 1
Dartford 3
Hayes & Yeading 2
Camberley Town 1
Tonbridge -
TBD -
Ramsgate 1
Bracknell Town 0
Torquay -
TBD -
Basingstoke 0
AFC Stoneham 1
Brixham 2
Dorchester 3
TBD -
Oxford City -
Billericay -
TBD -
Frenford 0
Enfield Town 4
Hampton & Richmond -
TBD -
Crowborough 4
Whyteleafe 3
Weston-super-Mare -
TBD -
Wimborne 3
Portishead Town 1
Brackley -
TBD -
Portchester 2
Portland United 1
Canvey Island 2
Newmarket 1
TBD -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley 4
Cheshunt 2
Concord Rangers 2
Brentwood 4
Brantham 0
Waltham Abbey 7
TBD -
Dagenham & Red. -
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malvern Town 1
Redditch 5
Belper Town 0
Evesham 3
Stortford 2
Berkhamsted Town 3
Hendon 7
Hullbridge 3
Maidenhead -
TBD -
TBD -
Ebbsfleet -
St. Blazey 1
Tiverton 2
Sholing 2
Andover New Street 0
Winslow United 1
Swindon Supermarine 3
Bath City 0
Weymouth 2
Broadfields United 1
Chichester City 4
SE Dons 2
Erith Town 0
Falmouth Town 2
Frome Town 4
Gosport Borough 1
Plymouth Parkway 3
Walton & Hersham -
TBD -
TBD -
Horsham FC -
Margate 1
Snodland 3
Redhill 1
Sheppey United 2
Chertsey Town 3
Carshalton 2
Sittingbourne 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 4
Flackwell Heath 0
Hanwell Town 1
Burgess Hill 3
Jersey Bulls 1
Dover Ath. -
TBD -
TBD -
Folkestone -
Southall FC 2
Cobham 1
TBD -
Dorking Wanderers -
Slough Town -
TBD -
Egham Town 0
Chatham 4
Quarter-finals
Harborough 1
Rushall 0
FC Witham Town 0
St. Albans 3
AFC Emley 0
Spennymoor 4
Lower Breck 1
Chester 2
Barton Town 3
Boldmere St Michaels 1
Warrington Rylands 0
Chorley 1
Kettering 2
Quorn 0
Worcester 2
Stratford 1
Gateshead -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Hereford 2
Halesowen 2
Mickleover 0
Halifax -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Buxton 1
Ashton United 0
South Shields 7
Witton Albion 0
Hitchin 1
Leiston 2
Hednesford 0
Coventry United 1
Hebburn Town 1
Guiseley 4
Bradford PA 1
Lancaster 0
Barrow -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woodford Town 1
Mulbarton Wanderers 2
AFC Totton 0
Gloucester City 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Marine 3
Radcliffe 2
Warrington Town 3
South Liverpool 0
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Redcar Athletic 1
Macclesfield 2
Dunston 0
Scarborough Athletic 2
Leamington 1
Gainsborough 4
Anstey Nomads 2
Newcastle Town 1
Altrincham -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Telford 4
Worksop 7
United of Manchester 4
Ossett United 1
Bury FC 5
Workington 1
Bromsgrove 2
Leek Town 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Harrogate -
Gorleston 3
Bury Town 4
Spalding United 2
Hanley Town 0
Cambridge City 3
Buckhurst Hill 1
Alvechurch 3
Racing Club Warwick 1
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 3
Peterborough Sports 1
Needham Market 3
Braintree 6
Morecambe 2
Southport 0
Redcar Town 2
Darlington FC 4
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Heaton Stannington 1
Trafford 2
Atherton Collieries 2
Prescot Cables 0
Salisbury 4
Taunton Town 1
Dulwich Hamlet 4
Welling 1
Thame United 6
Exmouth Town 4
Eastbourne Borough 3
Windsor & Eton 0
Sutton -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Merthyr Town 1
Truro 3
Cirencester 4
Farnham 3
Chesham 7
Ware 2
Harleston Town 1
Real Bedford 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Forest Green -
Kingstonian 0
Leatherhead 1
Pagham 0
Hanworth Villa 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford 2
King’s Lynn 1
Hemel Hempstead 2
Wingate & Finchley 3
Cray Wanderers 3
Maidstone 1
Yate 1
Chippenham Town 2
Uxbridge 4
Farnborough 2
Slimbridge 1
Hungerford 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Bishops Cleeve 0
Tadley Calleva 1
Dartford 4
Hayes & Yeading 2
Tonbridge 2
Ramsgate 1
Torquay 6
AFC Stoneham 1
Dorchester 0
Oxford City 2
Billericay 1
Enfield Town 3
Hampton & Richmond 4
Crowborough 6
Weston-super-Mare 2
Wimborne 3
Brackley 1
Portchester 0
Canvey Island 0
Chelmsford 1
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aveley 2
Brentwood 3
Waltham Abbey 1
Dagenham & Red. 4
Southend -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Redditch 3
Evesham 0
Berkhamsted Town 4
Hendon 1
Maidenhead 1
Ebbsfleet 3
Tiverton 0
Sholing 1
Swindon Supermarine 1
Weymouth 3
Chichester City 2
SE Dons 3
Frome Town 0
Plymouth Parkway 2
Walton & Hersham 0
Horsham FC 3
Snodland 0
Sheppey United 1
Chertsey Town 3
A.F.C. Greenwich Borough 2
Hanwell Town 2
Burgess Hill 1
Dover Ath. 4
Folkestone 2
Southall FC 6
Dorking Wanderers 7
Slough Town 0
Chatham 1
Semi-finals
Harborough 3
St. Albans 2
Spennymoor 4
Chester 1
Barton Town 1
Chorley 4
Kettering 1
Worcester 3
Gateshead -
TBD -
Stafford 3
Halesowen 2
Halifax -
TBD -
Buxton 0
South Shields 2
Leiston 3
Coventry United 1
Guiseley 1
Bradford PA 0
Barrow -
TBD -
Mulbarton Wanderers 1
Gloucester City 2
Hartlepool -
TBD -
Marine 2
Warrington Town 0
Boston United -
TBD -
TBD -
Scunthorpe -
Macclesfield 4
Scarborough Athletic 3
Gainsborough 2
Anstey Nomads 3
Altrincham -
TBD -
Worksop 0
United of Manchester 3
Bury FC 2
Bromsgrove 1
TBD -
Harrogate -
Bury Town 1
Spalding United 5
Cambridge City 1
Alvechurch 2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds 2
Braintree 1
Morecambe 3
Darlington FC 0
Kidderminster -
TBD -
TBD -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
TBD -
TBD -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
TBD -
Trafford 2
Atherton Collieries 5
Salisbury 5
Dulwich Hamlet 0
Thame United 0
Eastbourne Borough 1
Sutton -
TBD -
Truro 4
Cirencester 0
Chesham 4
Real Bedford 3
TBD -
Forest Green -
Leatherhead 1
Hanworth Villa 0
TBD -
Yeovil -
Bedford 5
Wingate & Finchley 3
Cray Wanderers 3
Chippenham Town 0
Uxbridge 3
Hungerford 1
TBD -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
TBD -
Tadley Calleva 2
Dartford 1
Tonbridge 0
Torquay 1
Oxford City 6
Enfield Town 1
Crowborough 1
Wimborne 2
Brackley 0
Chelmsford 2
Wealdstone -
TBD -
TBD -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
TBD -
TBD -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
TBD -
Brentwood 3
Dagenham & Red. 1
Southend -
TBD -
Redditch 0
Berkhamsted Town 2
Ebbsfleet 1
Sholing 2
Weymouth 1
SE Dons 5
Plymouth Parkway 2
Horsham FC 1
Sheppey United 0
Chertsey Town 2
Hanwell Town 1
Dover Ath. 2
Dorking Wanderers 1
Chatham 0
Final
Harborough -
Spennymoor -
Chorley -
Worcester -
Gateshead -
Stafford -
Halifax -
South Shields -
Leiston -
Guiseley -
Barrow -
Gloucester City -
Hartlepool -
Marine -
Boston United -
Scunthorpe -
Macclesfield -
Anstey Nomads -
Altrincham -
United of Manchester -
Bury FC -
Harrogate -
Spalding United -
Alvechurch -
AFC Rushden & Diamonds -
Morecambe -
Kidderminster -
Solihull Moors -
Carlisle -
Tamworth -
AFC Fylde -
Atherton Collieries -
Salisbury -
Eastbourne Borough -
Sutton -
Truro -
Chesham -
Forest Green -
Leatherhead -
Yeovil -
Bedford -
Cray Wanderers -
Uxbridge -
Hornchurch -
Aldershot -
Tadley Calleva -
Torquay -
Oxford City -
Wimborne -
Chelmsford -
Wealdstone -
Worthing FC -
Boreham Wood -
Woking -
Eastleigh -
Brentwood -
Southend -
Berkhamsted Town -
Sholing -
SE Dons -
Plymouth Parkway -
Chertsey Town -
Dover Ath. -
Dorking Wanderers -