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Lowestoft vs Bedford

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rangel J.
45' Event
Sayer H.
(Penalty)
67' Event
Whittaker T.

AI Match Summary

Bedford in this Southern League Premier Central 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Bedford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lowestoft
15%
Draws
51%
Bedford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bedford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Bedford have won more games recently than Lowestoft.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Southern League Premier Central 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Bedford have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lowestoft Clean Sheet 20%
Bedford Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lowestoft Bedford
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 12
Draws 6 8
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 1.1 1.39
Goals Conceded 2.57 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Lowestoft vs Bedford
2:3
Dec 14, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Bedford vs Lowestoft
4:2
Sep 2, 2017 FA Cup
Bedford vs Lowestoft
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lowestoft Compare

Top Goalscorer Rangel J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Bedford Compare

Top Goalscorer Whittaker T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gyamfi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.55

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lowestoft 32 / 100
Bedford 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lowestoft Bedford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bedford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Lowestoft scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Bedford let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Difficult form: Bedford registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bedford
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lowestoft

(Home)
20 Sept
Waltham Abbey
4 : 1
Lowestoft
06 Sept
Lowestoft
2 : 0
Leverstock Green
30 Aug
FC Witham Town
3 : 2
Lowestoft
02 Aug
Lowestoft
0 : 1
Needham Market
12 Jul
Bury Town
0 : 0
Lowestoft
Page 1 of 6

Bedford

(Away)
18 Aug
Bedford
2 : 1
Buxton
15 Aug
Bedford
2 : 3
Darlington FC
08 Aug
Oxford City
1 : 0
Bedford
01 Aug
Kettering
1 : 0
Bedford
18 Jul
Bedford
2 : 0
Walton & Hersham
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bedford 42 25 7 10 79:58 82
2 Kettering 42 22 11 9 73:44 77
3 Telford 42 19 17 6 82:60 74
4 Halesowen 42 21 11 10 65:46 74
5 Harborough 42 20 11 11 65:42 71
6 Stamford 42 20 9 13 53:51 69
7 Spalding United 42 20 8 14 70:54 68
8 Stratford 42 18 13 11 61:44 67
9 Stourbridge 42 18 9 15 60:50 63
10 Leiston 42 16 12 14 56:58 60
11 Royston Town 42 14 15 13 51:49 57
12 Banbury 42 14 15 13 40:40 57
13 Alvechurch 42 16 8 18 49:46 56
14 Bromsgrove 42 15 6 21 57:61 51
15 Stortford 42 14 9 19 52:62 51
16 St Ives Town 42 13 11 18 58:60 50
17 Sudbury 42 13 11 18 52:57 50
18 Redditch 42 13 10 19 50:58 49
19 Barwell 42 13 7 22 56:75 46
20 Lowestoft 42 10 7 25 55:106 37
21 Hitchin 42 8 10 24 54:84 34
22 Biggleswade Town 42 5 13 24 44:77 28
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2024/2025 (Play Offs)