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Lowestoft vs Spalding United

England England

Southern League Premier Central 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Roberts J.
39' Event
Lawlor D.
58' Event
Cartwright S.

AI Match Summary

Spalding United in this Southern League Premier Central 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Spalding United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Lowestoft
20%
Draws
57%
Spalding United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Spalding United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Spalding United have won more games recently than Lowestoft.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Spalding United taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Lowestoft Clean Sheet 17%
Spalding United Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lowestoft Spalding United
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 5 19
Draws 6 7
Losses 20 5
Goals Scored 1.23 2.48
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2025 Southern League Premier Central
Lowestoft vs Spalding United
0:5
Sep 24, 2024 Southern League Premier Central
Spalding United vs Lowestoft
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lowestoft Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Spalding United Compare

Top Goalscorer Roberts J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lawlor D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lowestoft 20 / 100
Spalding United 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lowestoft Spalding United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Spalding United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Lowestoft scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Spalding United conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: Lowestoft remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Spalding United
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lowestoft

(Home)
20 Sept
Waltham Abbey
4 : 1
Lowestoft
06 Sept
Lowestoft
2 : 0
Leverstock Green
30 Aug
FC Witham Town
3 : 2
Lowestoft
02 Aug
Lowestoft
0 : 1
Needham Market
12 Jul
Bury Town
0 : 0
Lowestoft
Page 1 of 7

Spalding United

(Away)
15 Aug
Spalding United
0 : 1
Oxford City
08 Aug
Radcliffe
0 : 2
Spalding United
18 Jul
Spalding United
2 : 2
Scunthorpe
04 May
Spalding United
4 : 2
Real Bedford
29 Apr
Spalding United
1 : 0
Halesowen
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bedford 42 25 7 10 79:58 82
2 Kettering 42 22 11 9 73:44 77
3 Telford 42 19 17 6 82:60 74
4 Halesowen 42 21 11 10 65:46 74
5 Harborough 42 20 11 11 65:42 71
6 Stamford 42 20 9 13 53:51 69
7 Spalding United 42 20 8 14 70:54 68
8 Stratford 42 18 13 11 61:44 67
9 Stourbridge 42 18 9 15 60:50 63
10 Leiston 42 16 12 14 56:58 60
11 Royston Town 42 14 15 13 51:49 57
12 Banbury 42 14 15 13 40:40 57
13 Alvechurch 42 16 8 18 49:46 56
14 Bromsgrove 42 15 6 21 57:61 51
15 Stortford 42 14 9 19 52:62 51
16 St Ives Town 42 13 11 18 58:60 50
17 Sudbury 42 13 11 18 52:57 50
18 Redditch 42 13 10 19 50:58 49
19 Barwell 42 13 7 22 56:75 46
20 Lowestoft 42 10 7 25 55:106 37
21 Hitchin 42 8 10 24 54:84 34
22 Biggleswade Town 42 5 13 24 44:77 28
Promotion - National League North 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier Central 2024/2025 (Play Offs)