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Loznica vs Usce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Serbia Serbia

Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 Lagator Stadium, Loznica
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Stanojevic D.
29'
Mladenovic S.
35'
Sub
Todorovic T. In: Krstovic L.
Out: Todorovic T.

AI Match Summary

Loznica in this Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Loznica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Loznica
20%
Draws
40%
Usce
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Loznica have won more games recently than Usce.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Loznica Clean Sheet 13%
Usce Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Loznica Usce
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 6
Draws 11 8
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.17 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Usce vs Loznica
0:0
Sep 19, 2025 Mozzart Bet Prva Liga
Loznica vs Usce
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Loznica Compare

Top Goalscorer Stojanovic S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vujicic N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Usce Compare

Top Goalscorer Milosavljev V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Loznica 31 / 100
Usce 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Loznica Usce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Usce Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Loznica's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Usce's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Loznica stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Loznica VS Usce
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
75% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Loznica

(Home)
05 Oct
Napredak
3 : 0
Loznica
28 Sept
Loznica
2 : 0
Spartak Subotica
21 Sept
Jedinstvo Ub
2 : 3
Loznica
17 Sept
Loznica
2 : 2
Javor
12 Sept
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0
Loznica
Page 1 of 6

Usce

(Away)
02 Oct
Usce
2 : 0
BASK
27 Sept
Padinska Skela
0 : 0
Usce
18 Sept
Usce
1 : 3
Radnicki Obrenovac
15 Sept
Nika Lepusnica
2 : 1
Usce
04 Sept
Usce
2 : 1
Polet Dorcol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zemun 30 18 9 3 48:26 63
2 Macva Sabac 30 16 9 5 41:25 57
3 FK Vozdovac 30 16 8 6 47:23 56
4 Loznica 30 13 9 8 30:25 48
5 Jedinstvo Ub 30 11 11 8 44:39 44
6 Vrsac 30 9 14 7 30:27 41
7 Graficar Beograd 30 10 10 10 30:29 40
8 Smederevo 30 11 7 12 34:28 40
9 Dinamo Jug 30 10 12 8 31:29 38
10 Tekstilac Odzaci 30 9 10 11 34:41 37
11 Borac 1926 30 9 9 12 30:33 36
12 Dubocica 30 7 10 13 29:44 31
13 Kabel Novi Sad 30 6 12 12 22:40 30
14 Trayal Krusevac 30 7 8 15 33:36 29
15 FAP 30 6 8 16 26:47 26
16 Usce 30 4 10 16 23:40 22
Promotion - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Mozzart Bet Prva Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)