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LPRC Oiler vs Downtown

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The LFA First Division game between LPRC Oiler and Downtown finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward LPRC Oiler.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
LPRC Oiler
30%
Draws
23%
Downtown
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: LPRC Oiler

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • LPRC Oiler carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives LPRC Oiler a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
LPRC Oiler Clean Sheet 18%
Downtown Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LPRC Oiler Downtown
Matches Played 30 27
Wins 15 7
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 14
Goals Scored 1.63 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.17 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 LFA First Division
Downtown vs LPRC Oiler
3:3
Dec 12, 2025 LFA First Division
LPRC Oiler vs Downtown
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LPRC Oiler 85 / 100
Downtown 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LPRC Oiler Downtown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LPRC Oiler Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

LPRC Oiler found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Downtown has conceded goals in 74% of their last 27 outings.

LPRC Oiler has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

LPRC Oiler VS Downtown
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

LPRC Oiler

(Home)
19 May
Heaven Eleven
1 : 1
LPRC Oiler
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
04 May
LPRC Oiler
3 : 1
Gardnersville
25 Apr
LPRC Oiler
0 : 2
Borough FC
14 Apr
Freeport
2 : 3
LPRC Oiler
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Downtown

(Away)
23 May
Gardnersville
1 : 1
Downtown
14 May
Downtown
1 : 0
Borough FC
09 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Downtown
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
13 Apr
BEA Mountain
4 : 1
Downtown
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Watanga 26 16 8 2 40:20 56
2 BEA Mountain 26 15 7 4 56:22 52
3 FC Fassell 26 13 8 5 31:17 47
4 LPRC Oiler 26 11 8 7 36:29 41
5 Liberia Registry 26 12 5 9 31:33 41
6 Paynesville 26 10 8 8 41:42 38
7 Discoveries 26 9 8 9 31:23 35
8 Wologizi 26 9 7 10 38:40 34
9 Heaven Eleven 26 7 11 8 33:35 32
10 Borough FC 26 6 9 11 33:44 27
11 Downtown 26 7 6 13 32:44 27
12 Gardnersville 26 7 6 13 36:51 27
13 Black Man Warrior 26 4 8 14 16:28 20
14 Freeport 26 4 5 17 38:64 17
15 Jubilee 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)