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LPRC Oiler vs Freeport - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Liberia Liberia

LFA First Division
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

LPRC Oiler host Freeport in the LFA First Division. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Freeport have shipped 2.22 goals a game lately, while LPRC Oiler have conceded 1.09 and scored 1.67. Head-to-head, LPRC Oiler have won 2 to Freeport's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Apr 14, 2026, ending 2:3. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 0.94) point toward LPRC Oiler. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
LPRC Oiler
35%
Draws
19%
Freeport
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: LPRC Oiler

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • LPRC Oiler carry the better recent record into this one.
  • LPRC Oiler are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular LFA First Division form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
LPRC Oiler Clean Sheet 20%
Freeport Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LPRC Oiler Freeport
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 16 8
Draws 10 6
Losses 7 18
Goals Scored 1.67 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.09 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2026 LFA First Division
Freeport vs LPRC Oiler
2:3
Nov 23, 2025 LFA First Division
LPRC Oiler vs Freeport
2:1
Jan 4, 2025 LFA First Division
LPRC Oiler vs Freeport
1:1
Dec 8, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs LPRC Oiler
1:1
Mar 16, 2024 LFA First Division
Freeport vs LPRC Oiler
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LPRC Oiler 67 / 100
Freeport 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LPRC Oiler Freeport

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LPRC Oiler Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Freeport has conceded goals in 94% of their last 32 outings.

LPRC Oiler found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (33 games).

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

LPRC Oiler went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LPRC Oiler VS Freeport
1.88 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

LPRC Oiler

(Home)
19 May
Heaven Eleven
1 : 1
LPRC Oiler
13 May
Paynesville
0 : 3
LPRC Oiler
04 May
LPRC Oiler
3 : 1
Gardnersville
25 Apr
LPRC Oiler
0 : 2
Borough FC
14 Apr
Freeport
2 : 3
LPRC Oiler
Page 1 of 7

Freeport

(Away)
23 May
Freeport
3 : 3
Paynesville
14 May
Liberia Registry
2 : 1
Freeport
03 May
Freeport
2 : 2
Downtown
30 Apr
Shaita
1 : 1
Freeport
26 Apr
Black Man Warrior
0 : 0
Freeport
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Invincible Eleven 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 LPRC Oiler 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 NPA Anchors 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Liberia Registry 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Watanga 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Discoveries 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Freeport 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 BEA Mountain 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Heaven Eleven 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Paynesville 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Shaita 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Black Man Warrior 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
13 Gardnersville 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
14 Downtown 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
15 Wologizi 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Borough FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
17 Golden Dream 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
18 District 17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)