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LPTA Tozeur vs CA Bizertin

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue Professionnelle 1 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

LPTA Tozeur play CA Bizertin in the Ligue Professionnelle 1 2013/2014. CA Bizertin are favorites here. Recently, LPTA Tozeur averaged 0.72 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. CA Bizertin averaged 0.88 goals scored and 1 conceded. In past meetings, LPTA Tozeur won 0, CA Bizertin won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 4, 2018 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for LPTA Tozeur and 0.74 for CA Bizertin. This points to a CA Bizertin double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
LPTA Tozeur
15%
Draws
57%
CA Bizertin
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: CA Bizertin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • LPTA Tozeur picked up more points recently compared to CA Bizertin.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.74 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 57%
Over 2.5 Goals 32%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
LPTA Tozeur Clean Sheet 27%
CA Bizertin Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 51%
Second Half Goal 54%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LPTA Tozeur CA Bizertin
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 6 13
Draws 7 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.72 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.24 1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 4, 2018 Tunisia Cup
LPTA Tozeur vs CA Bizertin
0:1
Apr 30, 2014 Ligue Professionnelle 1
LPTA Tozeur vs CA Bizertin
1:2
Jan 4, 2014 Ligue Professionnelle 1
CA Bizertin vs LPTA Tozeur
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LPTA Tozeur 31 / 100
CA Bizertin 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LPTA Tozeur CA Bizertin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Bizertin Win (2)
Secondary Pick CA Bizertin & Under 3.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +40%
5.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +23.2%
3.85
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

LPTA Tozeur attacking → ← attacking CA Bizertin

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LPTA Tozeur scored in 45% of their last 29 games.

CA Bizertin let in goals in 61% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

LPTA Tozeur went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

CA Bizertin lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

25 Points in last 5 46
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.38
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Esperance Tunis30199248:1566
2CS Sfaxien30176736:2057
3Etoile Sahel301511436:1556
4Club Africain30159629:2054
5AS Marsa301261228:2742
6CA Bizertin30914729:2041
7Stade Gabesien30913827:2340
8JS Kairouan308111126:2535
9Metlaoui30714921:2635
10Monastir30971428:3234
11Hammam-Lif30971420:3234
12Gafsa30971425:3934
13Stade Tunisien30951619:3332
14Olympique Beja305141122:3229
15LPTA Tozeur306111323:3529
16Grombalia Sports30681623:4626