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LSPA vs FK Smiltene

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

18' Event
Silins E.
48' Event
Lakis R.
57' Event
Gaismins V.

AI Match Summary

The Latvian Cup game between LSPA and FK Smiltene finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK Smiltene.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
LSPA
39%
Draws
31%
FK Smiltene
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Smiltene's 1.38 goals per match outpaces what LSPA have produced (1).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Latvian Cup game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
LSPA Clean Sheet 10%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LSPA FK Smiltene
Matches Played 9 29
Wins 4 4
Draws 0 7
Losses 5 18
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 5 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 5.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup
LSPA vs FK Smiltene
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LSPA Compare

Top Goalscorer Silins E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

FK Smiltene Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaismins V.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Lakis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LSPA 29 / 100
FK Smiltene 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LSPA FK Smiltene

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LSP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Smiltene's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: LSPA scored in 78% of their last 9 outings.

FK Smiltene's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

LSPA VS FK Smiltene
1 Goals Scored 1.38
5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS0
Riga Mariners11
Iecava0
Alberts JDFS5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
LSPA1
FK Smiltene5
Valmiera2
Skanste0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
JFC Viola1
Marupe2
Valka1
Aliance5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Grobina-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
Upesciema Warriors0
JFK Ventspils3
DSVK Traktors3
Leevon PPK5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Riga FC-
Lielupe0
FK Metta6
Kekava-Auda2
Rezekne1
Saldus NSS0
Salaspils FK4
Speks6
FK Union / JFK Daugava0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners1
Alberts JDFS0
TBD-
BFC Daugavpils-
FK Smiltene1
Valmiera4
TBD-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
TBD-
TBD-
FK Liepaja-
Marupe4
Aliance2
TBD-
Grobina-
Tukums 2000-
TBD-
TBD-
Super Nova-
RFS-
TBD-
TBD-
Jelgava-
JFK Ventspils1
Leevon PPK3
TBD-
Riga FC-
FK Metta5
Kekava-Auda0
Salaspils FK1
Speks3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners3
BFC Daugavpils4
Valmiera2
Ogre United4
FK Auda Riga1
FK Liepaja0
Marupe0
Grobina1
Tukums 20001
Super Nova2
RFS2
Jelgava0
Leevon PPK2
Riga FC3
FK Metta3
Speks1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils-
Ogre United-
FK Auda Riga-
Grobina-
Super Nova-
RFS-
Riga FC-
FK Metta-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-