Sport Picks
Match Events
18'
18'
Silins E.
48'
48'
Lakis R.
57'
57'
Gaismins V.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-5. The second leg ended 1-5.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: LSPA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- FK Smiltene carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives LSPA a 57% chance of winning this.
- FK Smiltene arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor FK Smiltene, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
LSPA Clean Sheet 10%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | LSPA | FK Smiltene |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 9 | 29 |
| Wins | 4 | 5 |
| Draws | 0 | 6 |
| Losses | 5 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 1.67 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 3.22 | 2.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 3.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 30, 2026 Latvian Cup
LSPA vs FK Smiltene
1:5
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
LSPA Compare
Top Goalscorer Silins E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
FK Smiltene Compare
Top Goalscorer Gaismins V.
3 Goals Assists Leader Lakis R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
LSPA 38 / 100
FK Smiltene 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
LSPA FK Smiltene
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick LSPA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: FK Smiltene conceded in 93% of 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.
LSPA's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 9 recent games.
Difficult form: FK Smiltene registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
LSPA VS FK Smiltene
1 Goals Scored 1
5 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
100% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
LSPA
(Home) 30 May
LSPA
1 : 5 FK Smiltene
18 May
RSU
5 : 1 LSPA
22 Jun
LSPA
0 : 5 Riga Mariners
29 May
LSPA
2 : 0 Riga United
18 May
Sigulda
0 : 5 LSPA
Page 1 of 2
30 May
LSPA
1 : 5 FK Smiltene
22 Jun
LSPA
0 : 5 Riga Mariners
29 May
LSPA
2 : 0 Riga United
26 Jun
LSPA
0 : 11 Jelgava
FK Smiltene
(Away) 12 Sept
FK Smiltene
4 : 1 Riga Mariners
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2 FK Smiltene
29 Aug
FK Smiltene
0 : 6 FK Metta
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2 FK Smiltene
08 Aug
FK Smiltene
1 : 4 Valmiera
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Alberts JDFS
3 : 2 FK Smiltene
23 Aug
Leevon PPK
4 : 2 FK Smiltene
02 Aug
JFK Ventspils
1 : 2 FK Smiltene
04 Jul
Marupe
2 : 1 FK Smiltene
14 Jun
Riga FC 2
2 : 0 FK Smiltene
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -
