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LSPA vs Riga United

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Balsevics M.
25' Event
Balsevics M.
90'
Castelein M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-0, with LSPA advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
LSPA
15%
Draws
51%
Riga United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Riga United

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Riga United come out ahead of LSPA on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Riga United's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Riga United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor LSPA, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
LSPA Clean Sheet 10%
Riga United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric LSPA Riga United
Matches Played 9 17
Wins 4 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.67 2.06
Goals Conceded 3.22 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 29, 2024 Latvian Cup
LSPA vs Riga United
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

LSPA Compare

Top Goalscorer Balsevics M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Riga United Compare

Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

LSPA 14 / 100
Riga United 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
LSPA Riga United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Riga United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: LSPA scored in 78% of their last 9 outings.

Riga United has conceded goals in 76% of their last 17 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: LSPA stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

LSPA VS Riga United
1.75 Goals Scored 2.38
3 Goals Conceded 3.63
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

LSPA

(Home)
30 May
LSPA
1 : 5
FK Smiltene
18 May
RSU
5 : 1
LSPA
22 Jun
LSPA
0 : 5
Riga Mariners
29 May
LSPA
2 : 0
Riga United
18 May
Sigulda
0 : 5
LSPA
Page 1 of 2

Riga United

(Away)
21 Jun
Riga United
0 : 3
Marupe
01 Jun
Speks
0 : 3
Riga United
18 May
Riga United
6 : 0
SK Babite
29 May
LSPA
2 : 0
Riga United
19 May
Riga United
3 : 2
Kadaga/Ostas
Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK -
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Upesciema Warriors -
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Bebri 3
JFC Viola 2
Skanste -
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Salaspils FK -
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Livani -
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Grobina -
Lielupe -
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Valka -
Sports United/Cesis -
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Rigas Futbola Skola -
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Riga FC -
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LSPA -
Riga United -
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Kadaga/Ostas -
Dinamo Riga -
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Iecava -
FK Union 0
Riga Mariners 2
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RSU -
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FK Metta -
Ogre United -
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Marupe -
Madona/BJSS -
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Kuldigas/Goldingen -
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Auda Riga -
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FK Liepaja -
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Plavinas -
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Kekava-Auda -
Alberts JDFS -
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Bauskas / Memele -
FK Alberts -
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Rezekne -
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Jules Verne -
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FK Cesis -
AFA Olaine -
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Aliance -
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FK Limbazi -
1/64-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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Valmiera -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK -
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Upesciema Warriors 3
Bebri 1
Skanste -
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Salaspils FK 7
Livani 2
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Grobina -
Lielupe 5
Valka 1
Sports United/Cesis 0
Rigas Futbola Skola 12
Super Nova -
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JFK Ventspils -
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Riga FC -
Sigulda 0
LSPA 5
Riga United 3
Kadaga/Ostas 2
Dinamo Riga 1
Iecava 3
Riga Mariners 4
RSU 1
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FK Metta -
Ogre United -
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Marupe -
Madona/BJSS 4
Kuldigas/Goldingen 2
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FK Smiltene -
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FK Auda Riga -
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FK Liepaja -
DSVK Traktors 1
Plavinas 2
Talsi 3
Kekava-Auda 4
Alberts JDFS -
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Bauskas / Memele 4
FK Alberts 0
Rezekne -
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Jules Verne 2
FK Cesis 3
AFA Olaine -
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Aliance 20
FK Limbazi 0
1/32-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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Valmiera -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK 4
Upesciema Warriors 0
Skanste 6
Salaspils FK 1
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Grobina -
Lielupe 1
Rigas Futbola Skola 2
Super Nova 1
JFK Ventspils 2
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Riga FC -
LSPA 2
Riga United 0
Iecava 1
Riga Mariners 3
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FK Metta -
Ogre United 2
Marupe 7
Madona/BJSS 0
FK Smiltene 6
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FK Auda Riga -
Jelgava -
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FK Liepaja -
Plavinas 0
Kekava-Auda 5
Alberts JDFS 5
Bauskas / Memele 0
Rezekne 5
FK Cesis 0
AFA Olaine 3
Aliance 0
1/16-finals
Tukums 2000 -
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Valmiera -
RFS -
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BFC Daugavpils -
Leevon PPK 2
Skanste 1
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Grobina -
Rigas Futbola Skola 1
JFK Ventspils 2
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Riga FC -
LSPA 0
Riga Mariners 5
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FK Metta -
Marupe 3
FK Smiltene 1
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FK Auda Riga -
Jelgava -
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FK Liepaja -
Kekava-Auda 3
Alberts JDFS 4
Rezekne 1
AFA Olaine 5
1/8-finals
Tukums 2000 2
Valmiera 3
RFS 2
BFC Daugavpils 1
Leevon PPK 2
Grobina 1
JFK Ventspils 0
Riga FC 3
Riga Mariners 0
FK Metta 4
Marupe 1
FK Auda Riga 4
Jelgava 2
FK Liepaja 4
Alberts JDFS 1
AFA Olaine 2
Quarter-finals
Valmiera 3
RFS 4
Leevon PPK 0
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
FK Auda Riga 2
FK Liepaja 1
AFA Olaine 0
Semi-finals
RFS 2
Riga FC 1
FK Auda Riga 3
FK Liepaja 0
Final
RFS 4
FK Auda Riga 2