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Luanda City vs Santa Rita

Angola Angola

Girabola 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Vanio
86' Event
Hugo C.
88'

AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2024/2025 game between Luanda City and Santa Rita finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luanda City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Luanda City
15%
Draws
78%
Santa Rita
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Rita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Luanda City come out ahead of Santa Rita on wins alone.
  • Santa Rita are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular Girabola 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 21.6%
Luanda City Clean Sheet 15%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luanda City Santa Rita
Matches Played 36 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 6 8
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 0.72 0.43
Goals Conceded 1.36 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Girabola
Santa Rita vs Luanda City
1:0
Nov 24, 2024 Girabola
Luanda City vs Santa Rita
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luanda City Compare

Top Goalscorer Vanio
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hugo C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55

Santa Rita Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luanda City 15 / 100
Santa Rita 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luanda City Santa Rita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Rita Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santa Rita conceded in 63% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Luanda City found the back of the net in 56% of recent matches (36 games).

Solid form: Luanda City remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Luanda City VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luanda City

(Home)
24 May
Sao Salvador
1 : 0
Luanda City
20 May
Luanda City
0 : 1
Primeiro de Agosto
17 May
Wiliete
1 : 0
Luanda City
10 May
Luanda City
0 : 2
Bravos do Maquis
06 May
Sagrada
0 : 0
Luanda City
Page 1 of 8

Santa Rita

(Away)
25 May
Santa Rita
1 : 0
Academica
17 May
CD Lunda Sul
0 : 2
Santa Rita
12 May
Santa Rita
0 : 1
Interclube
03 May
C.R.D. Libolo
0 : 1
Santa Rita
27 Apr
Santa Rita
1 : 0
Luanda City
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 20 8 2 46:13 68
2 Wiliete 30 18 6 6 49:23 60
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 14 13 3 35:19 55
4 Sagrada 30 13 10 7 28:23 49
5 Bravos do Maquis 30 11 15 4 35:21 48
6 Sao Salvador 30 14 6 10 38:25 48
7 Interclube 30 10 12 8 34:20 42
8 Desportivo Huila 30 12 6 12 27:24 42
9 Kabuscorp 30 9 12 9 26:26 39
10 CD Lunda Sul 30 8 11 11 21:28 35
11 Academica 30 7 11 12 22:36 32
12 C.R.D. Libolo 30 6 12 12 26:33 30
13 Luanda City 30 7 7 16 25:44 28
14 Santa Rita 30 6 8 16 13:32 26
15 Isaac de Benguela 30 5 8 17 27:47 23
16 Carmona 30 3 9 18 11:49 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)