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Luanda Villa vs Nairobi City Stars

Kenya Kenya

Super League
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AI Match Summary

Luanda Villa in this Super League matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Luanda Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Luanda Villa
17%
Draws
13%
Nairobi City Stars
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Luanda Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Luanda Villa lately — more wins on the board than Nairobi City Stars.
  • Win probability leans Luanda Villa's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%
Luanda Villa Clean Sheet 68%
Nairobi City Stars Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luanda Villa Nairobi City Stars
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 6 11
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.25 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Super League
Luanda Villa vs Nairobi City Stars
1:0
Oct 5, 2025 Super League
Nairobi City Stars vs Luanda Villa
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luanda Villa 77 / 100
Nairobi City Stars 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luanda Villa Nairobi City Stars

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Nairobi City Stars's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Difficult form: Nairobi City Stars registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Luanda Villa's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Luanda Villa VS Nairobi City Stars
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Luanda Villa

(Home)
13 Jun
Luanda Villa
0 : 1
Soy United
07 Jun
Vihiga United
1 : 1
Luanda Villa
01 Jun
Luanda Villa
1 : 0
Mombasa United
28 May
Kabati
5 : 0
Luanda Villa
23 May
Gucha Stars
2 : 1
Luanda Villa
Page 1 of 6

Nairobi City Stars

(Away)
13 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 3
Darajani Gogo
07 Jun
Talanta FC
5 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
01 Jun
Nairobi City Stars
1 : 2
Kabati
27 May
Kibera
1 : 1
Nairobi City Stars
23 May
Nairobi City Stars
0 : 0
MCF
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Migori38256757:2981
23K FC38238762:2677
3Mombasa United382441051:3276
4Equity Bank382111656:2874
5MOFA381616651:3064
6Fortune Sacco381891161:4163
7Naivas FC3817101147:3061
8Talanta FC381691353:4157
9Kibera381581532:3353
10Soy United3814101431:2752
11Nzoia Sugar3812141237:3650
12Gucha Stars381281835:4144
13Luanda Villa381271930:5143
14Kabati381091932:5239
15Kisumu All-Stars381091923:4739
16Nairobi City Stars389121732:4439
17Darajani Gogo381082027:4838
18MCF389101924:4234
19Vihiga United38992029:5530
20Mwatate United38672527:6425
Promotion - Premier League 2026/2027 (Main)