Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luarca vs Basico Urraca

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rubio C.
55' Event
Marques C.
86' Event
Tuero Gutierrez D.

AI Match Summary

Basico Urraca in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Basico Urraca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Luarca
30%
Draws
58%
Basico Urraca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basico Urraca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Luarca have won more games recently than Basico Urraca.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Basico Urraca taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Luarca Clean Sheet 20%
Basico Urraca Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luarca Basico Urraca
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 6 5
Draws 6 12
Losses 18 16
Goals Scored 1.13 0.97
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.64
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Basico Urraca
1:2
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Luarca
2:1
Jan 15, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Basico Urraca
2:2
Sep 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Luarca
1:0
May 4, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Basico Urraca vs Luarca
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Rubio C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Basico Urraca Compare

Top Goalscorer Marques C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tuero Gutierrez D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luarca 12 / 100
Basico Urraca 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luarca Basico Urraca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Basico Urraca Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Basico Urraca conceded in 82% of 33 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Luarca scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Luarca stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Basico Urraca
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Luarca

(Home)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
Page 1 of 6

Basico Urraca

(Away)
11 May
Basico Urraca
1 : 4
Praviano
04 May
Gijon B
1 : 1
Basico Urraca
26 Apr
CD Roces
0 : 2
Basico Urraca
17 Apr
Basico Urraca
1 : 1
Union Club Ceares
12 Apr
Lealtad
5 : 1
Basico Urraca
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)