Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luarca vs CD Colunga

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Kovalenko B.
75' Event
Martinez R.
83' Event
Nuno D.

AI Match Summary

CD Colunga in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored CD Colunga.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Luarca
20%
Draws
40%
CD Colunga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • CD Colunga have won more games recently than Luarca.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Luarca Clean Sheet 21%
CD Colunga Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luarca CD Colunga
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 6 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 18 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.22
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs CD Colunga
0:3
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Luarca
1:1
Apr 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Luarca
1:1
Dec 3, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs CD Colunga
1:1
Mar 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
CD Colunga vs Luarca
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luarca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

CD Colunga Compare

Top Goalscorer Kovalenko B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.62

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luarca 32 / 100
CD Colunga 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luarca CD Colunga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Colunga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Luarca scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

CD Colunga let in goals in 78% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

CD Colunga lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Colunga
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 0.88
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Luarca

(Home)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
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CD Colunga

(Away)
11 Aug
CD Colunga
1 : 2
Gijon B
10 May
Gijon Industrial
6 : 2
CD Colunga
03 May
CD Colunga
0 : 2
Praviano
26 Apr
Lenense
3 : 3
CD Colunga
19 Apr
CD Colunga
2 : 3
EI San Martin
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)