Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Luarca vs Gijon Industrial

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

48' Event
Rueda A.
56' Event
Garcia Prieto A.
60' Event
Ferrera A.

AI Match Summary

Gijon Industrial in this Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gijon Industrial.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Luarca
30%
Draws
58%
Gijon Industrial
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Gijon Industrial

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Luarca haven't matched Gijon Industrial's recent run of results.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Gijon Industrial taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Luarca Clean Sheet 20%
Gijon Industrial Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Luarca Gijon Industrial
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 6 12
Losses 18 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1.16
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 0.93
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Gijon Industrial
2:3
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Luarca
1:1
Jan 9, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Gijon Industrial vs Luarca
2:1
Sep 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Gijon Industrial
0:0
Mar 9, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 2
Luarca vs Gijon Industrial
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Luarca Compare

Top Goalscorer Garcia Prieto A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrera A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

Gijon Industrial Compare

Top Goalscorer Rueda A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fernandez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Luarca 10 / 100
Gijon Industrial 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Luarca Gijon Industrial

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gijon Industrial Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gijon Industrial's defensive record shows goals conceded in 84% of 31 matches.

Luarca found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Luarca went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Gijon Industrial
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 2.13
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Luarca

(Home)
12 May
Lealtad
4 : 0
Luarca
05 May
Luarca
2 : 3
Gijon Industrial
01 May
Lenense
3 : 0
Luarca
27 Apr
Luarca
1 : 2
Basico Urraca
21 Apr
Tuilla
1 : 1
Luarca
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Gijon Industrial

(Away)
27 Sept
Gijon Industrial
1 : 2
Condal
20 Sept
Llanes
2 : 2
Gijon Industrial
13 Sept
CD Mosconia
2 : 0
Gijon Industrial
06 Sept
Gijon Industrial
2 : 0
EI San Martin
29 Aug
Gijon Industrial
0 : 0
Covadonga
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llanera 34 28 3 3 105:25 87
2 Gijon B 34 21 8 5 61:15 71
3 Lealtad 34 19 8 7 53:25 65
4 Union Club Ceares 34 19 8 7 52:30 65
5 L Entregu CF 34 18 9 7 51:32 63
6 Praviano 34 13 16 5 34:26 55
7 Tuilla 34 13 13 8 56:43 52
8 Basico Urraca 34 11 11 12 33:35 44
9 Caudal Deportivo 34 9 16 9 35:35 43
10 CD Colunga 34 11 8 15 38:44 41
11 Lenense 34 10 8 16 32:45 38
12 Aviles Stadium 34 8 12 14 30:43 36
13 Real Titanico 34 9 9 16 43:63 36
14 Condal 34 10 6 18 28:49 36
15 Llanes 34 9 8 17 36:54 35
16 Gijon Industrial 34 7 9 18 36:67 30
17 Luarca 34 6 7 21 38:75 25
18 Barcia 34 2 7 25 26:81 13
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 2 2023/2024 (Play Offs)