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Lubeck vs ETSV Hamburg

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Lubeck and ETSV Hamburg finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lubeck.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Lubeck
20%
Draws
70%
ETSV Hamburg
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ETSV Hamburg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • ETSV Hamburg carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives ETSV Hamburg a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lubeck Clean Sheet 14%
ETSV Hamburg Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lubeck ETSV Hamburg
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 11 18
Draws 6 4
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.63 3.52
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Club Friendly
Lubeck vs ETSV Hamburg
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lubeck 11 / 100
ETSV Hamburg 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lubeck ETSV Hamburg

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ETSV Hamburg Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 6.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Lubeck scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.

ETSV Hamburg has conceded goals in 56% of their last 27 outings.

Solid form: Lubeck remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lubeck VS ETSV Hamburg
1 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lubeck

(Home)
29 Aug
Lubeck
2 : 3
Drochtersen / Assel
26 Aug
Lubeck
1 : 3
Hamburger II
15 Aug
Phonix Lubeck
4 : 0
Lubeck
11 Aug
Lubeck
1 : 1
VfB Oldenburg
08 Aug
Delmenhorst
2 : 0
Lubeck
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ETSV Hamburg

(Away)
28 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
1 : 4
TSV Buchholz 08
21 Aug
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 3
HEBC Hamburg
14 Aug
TSV Concordia
1 : 4
ETSV Hamburg
31 Jul
ETSV Hamburg
2 : 1
Teutonia Ottensen
25 Jul
Dassendorf
1 : 1
ETSV Hamburg
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