Sport Picks

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Lucan Utd vs Aisling Annacotty

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2019
Sun, May 26, 2019
3 - 1
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Lucan Utd play Aisling Annacotty in the FAI Cup 2019. It looks like a close match. Recently, Lucan Utd averaged 1.93 goals scored and 2.21 conceded. Aisling Annacotty averaged 1 goals scored and 3 conceded. In past meetings, Lucan Utd won 1, Aisling Annacotty won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 26, 2019 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Lucan Utd and 1.50 for Aisling Annacotty. This points to a Aisling Annacotty double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Lucan Utd
40%
Draws
30%
Aisling Annacotty
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Aisling Annacotty

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / Medium Confidence
  • Lucan Utd picked up more points recently compared to Aisling Annacotty.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 1.50 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 16%
Aisling Annacotty Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 85%
Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucan Utd Aisling Annacotty
Matches Played 14 1
Wins 7 0
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 1
Goals Scored 1.93 1
Goals Conceded 2.21 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 26, 2019 FAI Cup
Lucan Utd vs Aisling Annacotty
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucan Utd 30 / 100
Aisling Annacotty 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucan Utd Aisling Annacotty

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Aisling Annacotty or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +36.5%
4.55
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +7.4%
1.22
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Lucan Utd attacking → ← attacking Aisling Annacotty

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucan Utd scored in 79% of their last 14 games.

Aisling Annacotty let in goals in 100% of their last 1 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Lucan Utd went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Aisling Annacotty lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Cup knockout game. Winning is all that matters, which can lead to wild tactics or extra time.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 0
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
2.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.00