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Stadium Background

Lucan Utd vs Bohemians

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2022
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
McEvoy H.
29'
Rafferty A.
32' Event
Burt L.

AI Match Summary

Bohemians in this FAI Cup 2022 tie, finishing 0-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Lucan Utd
15%
Draws
61%
Bohemians
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bohemians

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Bohemians have won more games recently than Lucan Utd.
  • Model gives Bohemians a 61% chance of winning this.
  • Bohemians arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Bohemians, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 17%
Bohemians Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucan Utd Bohemians
Matches Played 17 30
Wins 8 16
Draws 0 5
Losses 9 9
Goals Scored 1.71 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.18 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2022 FAI Cup
Lucan Utd vs Bohemians
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucan Utd Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Bohemians Compare

Top Goalscorer Burt L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Afolabi J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucan Utd 10 / 100
Bohemians 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucan Utd Bohemians

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bohemians Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lucan Utd scored in 76% of their last 17 outings.

Defensive concern: Bohemians conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Lucan Utd stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucan Utd VS Bohemians
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucan Utd

(Home)
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
17 Jul
Drogheda
4 : 0
Lucan Utd
17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2
University College Cork
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2
Lucan Utd
Page 1 of 4

Bohemians

(Away)
11 Sept
Galway United
2 : 3
Bohemians
05 Sept
St. Patricks
1 : 2
Bohemians
28 Aug
Bohemians
3 : 0
Sligo Rovers
21 Aug
Bohemians
5 : 3
Derry City
16 Aug
Bohemians
4 : 0
Longford
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Salthill 2
Malahide United 3
St. Patricks 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 1
Wexford 2
Dundalk 4
Longford 0
Bonagee 6
Pike Rovers 0
Bray 0
Shelbourne 3
Lucan Utd 3
Killester Donnycarney 0
Finn Harps 1
Bohemians 3
Derry City 7
Oliver Bond FC 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Cork City 1
Drogheda 5
Athlone 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Maynooth University 2
Villa FC 1
Treaty United 5
Usher Celtic 0
Bluebell Utd 0
Galway United 7
UC Dublin 3
Cockhill 0
1/8-finals
Malahide United 0
Waterford 6
Wexford 2
Dundalk 3
Bonagee 0
Shelbourne 4
Lucan Utd 0
Bohemians 2
Derry City 2
Cork City 0
Drogheda 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Maynooth University 0
Treaty United 3
Galway United 2
UC Dublin 3
Quarter-finals
Waterford 3
Dundalk 2
Shelbourne 3
Bohemians 0
Derry City 3
Shamrock Rovers 1
Treaty United 4
UC Dublin 1
Semi-finals
Waterford 0
Shelbourne 1
Derry City 2
Treaty United 1
Final
Shelbourne 0
Derry City 4