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Lucan Utd vs Home Farm - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

National League
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The National League game between Lucan Utd and Home Farm finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Lucan Utd
35%
Draws
38%
Home Farm
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Home Farm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Home Farm have managed 1.38 goals a game lately — Lucan Utd are scoring more at 1.65.
  • Home Farm are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 66%
Over 4.5 Goals 30%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Home Farm Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucan Utd Home Farm
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 2 6
Losses 9 14
Goals Scored 1.65 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.95 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 National League
Lucan Utd vs Home Farm
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucan Utd 10 / 100
Home Farm 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucan Utd Home Farm

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Home Farm Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Lucan Utd's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Home Farm let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Lucan Utd went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucan Utd VS Home Farm
1.88 Goals Scored 2.43
2.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
100% Over 1.5 71%
88% Over 2.5 57%
75% Over 3.5 57%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucan Utd

(Home)
03 Oct
Lucan Utd
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Sept
Mervue United
0 : 0
Lucan Utd
19 Sept
Lucan Utd
2 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
Page 1 of 4

Home Farm

(Away)
03 Oct
Lucan Utd
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Sept
Home Farm
4 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Mervue United
1 : 6
Home Farm
05 Sept
Cockhill
0 : 2
Home Farm
29 Aug
Bonagee
2 : 2
Home Farm
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Home Farm 5 3 2 0 16:5 11
2 Mervue United 6 3 2 1 12:10 11
3 Lucan Utd 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
4 Bonagee 4 0 1 3 4:11 1
5 Cockhill 4 0 1 3 1:9 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Salthill 5 2 2 1 10:8 8
2 Letterkenny Rovers 5 2 1 2 12:10 7
3 TU Dublin 5 1 3 1 10:12 6
4 Mayo FC 5 2 0 3 5:9 6
5 St Francis 4 1 2 1 6:4 5
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Villa FC 5 4 1 0 20:6 13
2 CK United FC 6 3 2 1 12:12 11
3 University College Cork 4 2 1 1 8:6 7
4 Killarney Celtic 4 0 1 3 6:10 1
5 Newbridge Town 5 0 1 4 5:17 1
Promotion - National League (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams