Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Ukek J.
44'
44'
McEvoy H.
58'
58'
Mooney D.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
This match ends 3-0, with Lucan Utd advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
51%
15%
34%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucan Utd
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Killester Donnycarney carry the better recent record into this one.
- 51% — that's where the model lands on Lucan Utd taking it.
- Killester Donnycarney arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Lucan Utd, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 53%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 10%
Killester Donnycarney Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lucan Utd | Killester Donnycarney |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 18 | 25 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 0 | 3 |
| Losses | 9 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.72 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.06 | 1.64 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.13 | 1.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 30, 2022 FAI Cup
Lucan Utd vs Killester Donnycarney
3:0
Aug 11, 2019 FAI Cup
Lucan Utd vs Killester Donnycarney
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lucan Utd Compare
Top Goalscorer Ukek J.
1 Goals Assists Leader McEvoy H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06
Killester Donnycarney Compare
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.03
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lucan Utd 47 / 100
Killester Donnycarney 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lucan Utd Killester Donnycarney
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lucan Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lucan Utd scored in 78% of their last 18 outings.
Killester Donnycarney has conceded goals in 64% of their last 25 outings.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Lucan Utd stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Lucan Utd VS Killester Donnycarney
2.13 Goals Scored 1.57
2.13 Goals Conceded 2.14
100% Over 1.5 86%
88% Over 2.5 71%
63% Over 3.5 43%
Recent Form & Match History
Lucan Utd
(Home) 19 Sept
Lucan Utd
2 : 0 Cockhill
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1 Lucan Utd
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2 Mervue United
17 Jul
Drogheda
4 : 0 Lucan Utd
17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2 University College Cork
Page 1 of 4
19 Sept
Lucan Utd
2 : 0 Cockhill
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2 Mervue United
17 May
Lucan Utd
5 : 2 University College Cork
23 Jul
Lucan Utd
2 : 3 St. Patricks CY
14 Jan
Lucan Utd
0 : 4 Shamrock Rovers
Page 1 of 3
Killester Donnycarney
(Away) 17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1 Killester Donnycarney
18 Jul
Killester Donnycarney
0 : 7 Bohemians
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6 Killester Donnycarney
30 Jul
Lucan Utd
3 : 0 Killester Donnycarney
10 Oct
Killester Donnycarney
3 : 1 Firhouse
Page 1 of 5
17 May
College Corinthians
2 : 1 Killester Donnycarney
17 May
Midleton
0 : 6 Killester Donnycarney
30 Jul
Lucan Utd
3 : 0 Killester Donnycarney
02 Sept
Malahide United
5 : 0 Killester Donnycarney
11 Aug
Lucan Utd
2 : 1 Killester Donnycarney
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Salthill 2
Malahide United 3
St. Patricks 2
Waterford 3
Sligo Rovers 1
Wexford 2
Dundalk 4
Longford 0
Bonagee 6
Pike Rovers 0
Bray 0
Shelbourne 3
Lucan Utd 3
Killester Donnycarney 0
Finn Harps 1
Bohemians 3
Derry City 7
Oliver Bond FC 0
Cobh Ramblers 0
Cork City 1
Drogheda 5
Athlone 1
Bangor Celtic 0
Shamrock Rovers 4
Maynooth University 2
Villa FC 1
Treaty United 5
Usher Celtic 0
Bluebell Utd 0
Galway United 7
UC Dublin 3
Cockhill 0
1/8-finals
Malahide United 0
Waterford 6
Wexford 2
Dundalk 3
Bonagee 0
Shelbourne 4
Lucan Utd 0
Bohemians 2
Derry City 2
Cork City 0
Drogheda 1
Shamrock Rovers 2
Maynooth University 0
Treaty United 3
Galway United 2
UC Dublin 3
Quarter-finals
Waterford 3
Dundalk 2
Shelbourne 3
Bohemians 0
Derry City 3
Shamrock Rovers 1
Treaty United 4
UC Dublin 1
Semi-finals
Waterford 0
Shelbourne 1
Derry City 2
Treaty United 1
Final
Shelbourne 0
Derry City 4
