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Lucan Utd vs St. Patricks CY - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Doyle J.
36' Event
Mooney D.
39' Event
Hanrahan B.

AI Match Summary

St. Patricks CY in this FAI Cup 2023 tie, finishing 2-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Lucan Utd
20%
Draws
34%
St. Patricks CY
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lucan Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lucan Utd lately — more wins on the board than St. Patricks CY.
  • Win probability leans Lucan Utd's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Lucan Utd have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor St. Patricks CY, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 58.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lucan Utd Clean Sheet 18%
St. Patricks CY Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucan Utd St. Patricks CY
Matches Played 20 8
Wins 9 3
Draws 2 0
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.65 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.95 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2023 FAI Cup
Lucan Utd vs St. Patricks CY
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucan Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Mooney D.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.57
Avg xA / game 1.02

St. Patricks CY Compare

Top Goalscorer Doyle J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hanrahan B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucan Utd 85 / 100
St. Patricks CY 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucan Utd St. Patricks CY

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucan Utd Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

St. Patricks CY let in goals in 100% of their last 8 matches.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: Lucan Utd scored in 75% of their last 20 outings.

Lucan Utd has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lucan Utd VS St. Patricks CY
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.33
100% Over 1.5 67%
88% Over 2.5 67%
50% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucan Utd

(Home)
03 Oct
Lucan Utd
2 : 2
Home Farm
26 Sept
Mervue United
0 : 0
Lucan Utd
19 Sept
Lucan Utd
2 : 0
Cockhill
12 Sept
Bonagee
0 : 1
Lucan Utd
05 Sept
Lucan Utd
1 : 2
Mervue United
Page 1 of 4

St. Patricks CY

(Away)
14 Jan
St. Patricks CY
0 : 4
Bray
20 Aug
St. Patricks CY
0 : 1
Wexford
23 Jul
Lucan Utd
2 : 3
St. Patricks CY
06 Jun
St. Patricks CY
0 : 3
St. Patricks
25 Apr
Leixlip United
1 : 2
St. Patricks CY
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Treaty United 0
Cork City 2
St. Michaels 0
Waterford 5
Lucan Utd 2
St. Patricks CY 3
Wexford 3
Avondale United 0
Kilbarrack Utd 0
Finn Harps 1
Portlaoise AFC 0
Skerries Town 3
Derry City 3
Athlone 0
Longford 1
St. Patricks 2
UC Dublin 3
Cobh Ramblers 2
Galway United 4
Bangor Celtic 1
Cockhill 1
Bray 3
Dundalk 1
Shamrock Rovers 0
Kerry 2
Ringmahon Rangers 0
Drogheda 2
Sligo Rovers 1
Bohemians 1
Shelbourne 0
Gorey Rangers 1
Rockmount 2
1/8-finals
Cork City 3
Waterford 0
St. Patricks CY 0
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 5
Skerries Town 0
Derry City 0
St. Patricks 1
UC Dublin 1
Galway United 5
Bray 0
Dundalk 1
Kerry 0
Drogheda 1
Bohemians 6
Rockmount 0
Quarter-finals
Cork City 2
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 1
St. Patricks 2
Galway United 4
Dundalk 0
Drogheda 1
Bohemians 3
Semi-finals
Cork City 0
St. Patricks 2
Galway United 0
Bohemians 1
Final
St. Patricks 3
Bohemians 1