Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lucchese vs Campobasso

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 Porta Elisa, Lucca
Our Tip

Match Events

39'
Gasbarro A.
46'
Sub
Gasbarro A. In: Welbeck N.
Out: Gasbarro A.
51'
Sub
Bifulco A. In: D'Angelo S.
Out: Bifulco A.

AI Match Summary

Lucchese in this Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucchese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Lucchese
35%
Draws
31%
Campobasso
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Campobasso lately — more wins on the board than Lucchese.
  • 34% — that's where the model lands on Lucchese taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Lucchese Clean Sheet 68%
Campobasso Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucchese Campobasso
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.75 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.68 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Campobasso
2:0
Nov 3, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Campobasso vs Lucchese
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucchese Compare

Top Goalscorer Selvini A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Campobasso Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucchese 95 / 100
Campobasso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucchese Campobasso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucchese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucchese scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Campobasso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Lucchese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucchese VS Campobasso
2 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucchese

(Home)
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6
Lucchese
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0
Lucchese
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0
SCD Progresso
12 Sept
Seravezza Pozzi
5 : 0
Lucchese
Page 1 of 6

Campobasso

(Away)
04 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
26 Sept
Sambenedettese
1 : 2
Campobasso
20 Sept
Campobasso
2 : 2
Pineto
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2
Campobasso
12 Sept
Vado
0 : 1
Campobasso
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Entella 38 23 14 1 61:24 83
2 Ternana 38 22 10 6 64:23 74
3 Sassari Torres 38 19 11 8 55:36 68
4 Pescara 38 19 10 9 55:35 67
5 Arezzo 38 19 7 12 48:37 64
6 Vis Pesaro 38 15 13 10 44:34 58
7 Pineto 38 15 12 11 46:49 57
8 Pianese 38 15 8 15 48:48 53
9 Rimini 38 13 14 11 45:35 51
10 US Pontedera 38 13 9 16 54:54 48
11 Gubbio 38 13 9 16 32:42 48
12 Perugia 38 11 14 13 43:41 47
13 Carpi 38 11 11 16 41:48 44
14 Campobasso 38 11 10 17 36:46 43
15 Ascoli 38 9 13 16 37:46 40
16 Lucchese 38 10 15 13 47:64 39
17 Spal 38 9 11 18 41:61 35
18 AC Milan U23 38 7 13 18 36:57 34
19 Sestri Levante 38 6 13 19 34:54 31
20 Legnago Salus 38 6 11 21 30:63 29
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)