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Lucchese vs Sassari Torres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 Porta Elisa, Lucca
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Selvini A.
25' Event
Fischnaller M.
28' Event
Fischnaller M.

AI Match Summary

Lucchese in this Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucchese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Lucchese
35%
Draws
27%
Sassari Torres
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lucchese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Sassari Torres haven't matched Lucchese's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Lucchese's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Lucchese Clean Sheet 68%
Sassari Torres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucchese Sassari Torres
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 12
Draws 8 11
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.76 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.66 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Sassari Torres
3:2
Dec 15, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Lucchese
0:0
Feb 14, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Sassari Torres
0:2
Oct 8, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Lucchese
2:0
Feb 4, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Sassari Torres vs Lucchese
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucchese Compare

Top Goalscorer Saporiti E.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Selvini A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Sassari Torres Compare

Top Goalscorer Fischnaller M.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucchese 95 / 100
Sassari Torres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucchese Sassari Torres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucchese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lucchese scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Lucchese went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Sassari Torres has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Lucchese VS Sassari Torres
2.25 Goals Scored 1.63
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucchese

(Home)
07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2
Lucchese
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6
Lucchese
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2
Siena
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0
Lucchese
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0
SCD Progresso
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Sassari Torres

(Away)
04 Oct
Campobasso
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
26 Sept
Sassari Torres
0 : 0
Vado
19 Sept
Forli FC
1 : 1
Sassari Torres
16 Sept
Sassari Torres
2 : 1
Pianese
13 Sept
Sassari Torres
3 : 2
Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Entella 38 23 14 1 61:24 83
2 Ternana 38 22 10 6 64:23 74
3 Sassari Torres 38 19 11 8 55:36 68
4 Pescara 38 19 10 9 55:35 67
5 Arezzo 38 19 7 12 48:37 64
6 Vis Pesaro 38 15 13 10 44:34 58
7 Pineto 38 15 12 11 46:49 57
8 Pianese 38 15 8 15 48:48 53
9 Rimini 38 13 14 11 45:35 51
10 US Pontedera 38 13 9 16 54:54 48
11 Gubbio 38 13 9 16 32:42 48
12 Perugia 38 11 14 13 43:41 47
13 Carpi 38 11 11 16 41:48 44
14 Campobasso 38 11 10 17 36:46 43
15 Ascoli 38 9 13 16 37:46 40
16 Lucchese 38 10 15 13 47:64 39
17 Spal 38 9 11 18 41:61 35
18 AC Milan U23 38 7 13 18 36:57 34
19 Sestri Levante 38 6 13 19 34:54 31
20 Legnago Salus 38 6 11 21 30:63 29
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)