Sport Picks
Lucchese vs Vis Pesaro - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 Porta Elisa, Lucca 
Match Events
52'
52'
Selvini A.
54'
54'
Di Paola M.
55'
55'
Sub
Schiavon M. In: Orellana M.
Out: Schiavon M.
AI Match Summary
Lucchese in this Serie C - Group B 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Lucchese.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
69%
15%
16%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Lucchese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
69%
/ High Confidence
- Lucchese have won more games recently than Vis Pesaro.
- Lucchese are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Lucchese Clean Sheet 68%
Vis Pesaro Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Lucchese | Vis Pesaro |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 7 |
| Draws | 8 | 7 |
| Losses | 8 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.77 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.19 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 13, 2025 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Vis Pesaro
1:0
Nov 30, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Lucchese
2:1
Mar 28, 2024 Serie C - Group B
Vis Pesaro vs Lucchese
1:3
Nov 25, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Vis Pesaro
1:2
Feb 19, 2023 Serie C - Group B
Lucchese vs Vis Pesaro
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Lucchese Compare
Top Goalscorer Selvini A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09
Vis Pesaro Compare
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Lucchese 95 / 100
Vis Pesaro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Lucchese Vis Pesaro
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Lucchese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Lucchese scored in 83% of their last 29 outings.
Vis Pesaro let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.
Recent resilience: Lucchese stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
Lucchese VS Vis Pesaro
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Lucchese
(Home) 07 Oct
Seravezza Pozzi
1 : 2 Lucchese
04 Oct
Grassina
3 : 6 Lucchese
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2 Siena
20 Sept
Rondinella
0 : 0 Lucchese
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
Lucchese
3 : 2 Siena
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
06 Sept
Lucchese
2 : 1 Montevarchi
17 May
Lucchese
1 : 0 Sestri Levante
27 Apr
Lucchese
3 : 2 Sassari Torres
Page 1 of 3
Vis Pesaro
(Away) 27 Sept
Vis Pesaro
2 : 1 Guidonia 1937
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
16 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 4 Reggiana
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
05 Sept
Vis Pesaro
1 : 2 Ostiamare
Page 1 of 6
21 Sept
Spezia
3 : 1 Vis Pesaro
12 Sept
Forli FC
2 : 1 Vis Pesaro
02 Sept
Gubbio
5 : 0 Vis Pesaro
22 Aug
Pescara
2 : 0 Vis Pesaro
15 Aug
Perugia
1 : 2 Vis Pesaro
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Entella | 38 | 23 | 14 | 1 | 61:24 | 83 |
| 2 | Ternana | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 64:23 | 74 |
| 3 | Sassari Torres | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 55:36 | 68 |
| 4 | Pescara | 38 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 55:35 | 67 |
| 5 | Arezzo | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 48:37 | 64 |
| 6 | Vis Pesaro | 38 | 15 | 13 | 10 | 44:34 | 58 |
| 7 | Pineto | 38 | 15 | 12 | 11 | 46:49 | 57 |
| 8 | Pianese | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 48:48 | 53 |
| 9 | Rimini | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 45:35 | 51 |
| 10 | US Pontedera | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54:54 | 48 |
| 11 | Gubbio | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 32:42 | 48 |
| 12 | Perugia | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 43:41 | 47 |
| 13 | Carpi | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 41:48 | 44 |
| 14 | Campobasso | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 36:46 | 43 |
| 15 | Ascoli | 38 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 37:46 | 40 |
| 16 | Lucchese | 38 | 10 | 15 | 13 | 47:64 | 39 |
| 17 | Spal | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:61 | 35 |
| 18 | AC Milan U23 | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 36:57 | 34 |
| 19 | Sestri Levante | 38 | 6 | 13 | 19 | 34:54 | 31 |
| 20 | Legnago Salus | 38 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 30:63 | 29 |
Promotion - Serie B 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A 2024/2025 (Play Out)
