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Lucko vs Bistra

Croatia Croatia

3. HNL Center
Lucko Logo

Lucko

4 - 2
FT
Bistra Logo

Bistra

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 3. HNL Center game between Lucko and Bistra finished 4-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lucko.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Lucko
30%
Draws
41%
Bistra
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bistra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bistra's 1.53 goals per match outpaces what Lucko have produced (1.29).
  • Model gives Lucko a 29% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Lucko have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Lucko Clean Sheet 16%
Bistra Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucko Bistra
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 8 9
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.29 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2022 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Bistra
4:2
Nov 21, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Lucko
0:3
May 26, 2021 3. HNL Center
Bistra vs Lucko
2:1
Nov 7, 2020 3. HNL Center
Lucko vs Bistra
3:1
May 10, 2015 Prva NL
Lucko vs Bistra
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucko 75 / 100
Bistra 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucko Bistra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lucko Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Bistra conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Lucko scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

Lucko has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Lucko VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucko

(Home)
11 Sept
Uljanik Pula
2 : 2
Lucko
04 Sept
Lucko
0 : 1
Solin
29 Aug
Dragovoljac
0 : 3
Lucko
22 Aug
Lucko
1 : 1
Jarun
08 Aug
Karlovac
2 : 1
Lucko
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Bistra

(Away)
19 Oct
Bistra
1 : 6
Lok. Zagreb
31 Aug
Bistra
2 : 1
Vodice
28 May
Bistra
3 : 1
Mladost Petrinja
21 May
Lucko
4 : 2
Bistra
18 May
Bistra
2 : 2
Lukavec
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zagorec Krapina 34 24 6 4 82:38 78
2 Dugo Selo 34 20 8 6 61:31 68
3 Trnje 34 18 9 7 64:43 63
4 Karlovac 34 17 11 6 68:24 62
5 Lucko 34 18 7 9 65:36 61
6 Maksimir 34 17 6 11 55:40 57
7 Vrbovec 34 14 7 13 56:59 49
8 Ravnice 34 11 14 9 37:42 47
9 Gaj Mace 34 13 7 14 53:51 46
10 HASK 34 11 12 11 46:45 45
11 Vrapce 34 11 10 13 56:48 43
12 Bistra 34 10 11 13 53:56 41
13 Kurilovec 34 8 12 14 39:44 36
14 Lukavec 34 8 9 17 37:69 33
15 Tresnjevka 34 7 8 19 53:78 29
16 Ponikve 34 7 7 20 32:53 28
17 Segesta 34 6 8 20 33:76 26
18 Mladost Petrinja 34 5 10 19 32:89 25
Promotion - 3. HNL - Promotion Play Offs (Main)