Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lucksta IF vs Umea FF

Sweden Sweden

Division 2 - Norrland
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Turay A.
69' Event
Alshiekhkhalil O.
73' Event
Alshiekhkhalil O.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 - Norrland game between Lucksta IF and Umea FF finished 1-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Umea FF.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Lucksta IF
15%
Draws
59%
Umea FF
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Umea FF

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Umea FF haven't matched Lucksta IF's recent run of results.
  • Umea FF are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Umea FF have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.4%
Lucksta IF Clean Sheet 10%
Umea FF Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucksta IF Umea FF
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 18
Goals Scored 1.79 1.55
Goals Conceded 2.34 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Umea FF
1:5
Apr 26, 2026 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs Lucksta IF
1:4
Aug 17, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Lucksta IF vs Umea FF
1:4
May 11, 2024 Division 2 - Norrland
Umea FF vs Lucksta IF
7:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucksta IF Compare

Top Goalscorer Turay A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Umea FF Compare

Top Goalscorer Alshiekhkhalil O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Samuelsson A.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucksta IF 10 / 100
Umea FF 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucksta IF Umea FF

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Umea FF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lucksta IF found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

Umea FF has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 6.00 goals per match.

Lucksta IF went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Lucksta IF VS Umea FF
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucksta IF

(Home)
16 Sept
Kubikenborgs
4 : 2
Lucksta IF
12 Sept
Lucksta IF
4 : 2
Gottne IF
05 Sept
Gottne IF
1 : 1
Lucksta IF
30 Aug
Lucksta IF
0 : 1
IFK Lulea
22 Aug
Taftea IK
4 : 1
Lucksta IF
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Umea FF

(Away)
12 Sept
Umea FF
0 : 3
Storfors AIK
05 Sept
Fransta IK
3 : 2
Umea FF
29 Aug
Friska Viljor
1 : 4
Umea FF
21 Aug
Umea FF
4 : 0
IFK Umea
15 Aug
Umea FF
2 : 0
Umea FC Akademi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skelleftea 12 8 3 1 26:8 27
2 Taftea IK 12 8 1 3 34:13 25
3 IFK Lulea 12 8 1 3 32:14 25
4 Boden 12 4 5 3 15:14 17
5 Umea FC Akademi 12 2 5 5 17:29 11
6 Storfors AIK 12 2 2 8 14:32 8
7 IFK Umea 12 1 1 10 10:38 4
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kubikenborgs 12 7 2 3 25:16 23
2 Gottne IF 12 7 2 3 29:24 23
3 Lucksta IF 12 5 3 4 26:26 18
4 IFK Ostersund 12 4 5 3 23:20 17
5 Friska Viljor 12 2 6 4 23:21 12
6 Umea FF 12 2 5 5 22:26 11
7 Fransta IK 12 2 3 7 17:32 9
Promotion - Division 2 - Norrland (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Division 2 - Norrland (Relegation Group)