Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lucon vs Colmar

France France

National 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Pessalli
14' Event
Charrier C.
(Penalty)
37' Event
Ruault C.

AI Match Summary

The National 2015/2016 game between Lucon and Colmar finished 5-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Lucon
35%
Draws
52%
Colmar
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Colmar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Lucon have managed 1.3 goals a game lately — Colmar are scoring more at 1.4.
  • Colmar are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular National 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Lucon Clean Sheet 17%
Colmar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucon Colmar
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2016 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Colmar
5:2
Sep 5, 2015 Ligue 3
Colmar vs Lucon
0:1
Apr 10, 2015 Ligue 3
Colmar vs Lucon
0:1
Nov 7, 2014 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Colmar
0:0
May 2, 2014 Ligue 3
Colmar vs Lucon
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucon Compare

Top Goalscorer Pessalli
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ruault C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Colmar Compare

Top Goalscorer Karim M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Toure Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucon 28 / 100
Colmar 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucon Colmar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colmar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lucon scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Colmar conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Lucon remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Colmar
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucon

(Home)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 6

Colmar

(Away)
16 May
Colmar
3 : 3
Wasquehal
09 May
Chambly
6 : 0
Colmar
02 May
Colmar
1 : 1
Borgo
25 Apr
Bourges 18
1 : 1
Colmar
18 Apr
Colmar
0 : 0
Thionville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 34 15 13 6 35:19 58
2 Orleans 34 14 14 6 50:37 56
3 Amiens SC 34 14 13 7 44:35 55
4 Athletico Marseille 34 15 9 10 50:43 54
5 Chateauroux 34 14 10 10 52:45 52
6 Dunkerque 34 12 11 11 42:42 47
7 Avranches 34 10 16 8 44:36 46
8 Boulogne 34 12 10 12 50:45 46
9 Chambly 34 11 11 12 46:40 44
10 Beziers 34 11 11 12 35:38 44
11 Lucon 34 11 11 12 45:50 44
12 Sedan 34 10 13 11 31:34 43
13 Borgo 34 10 13 11 29:33 43
14 Belfort 34 9 14 11 26:32 41
15 Les Herbiers 34 8 15 11 44:51 39
16 Colmar 34 10 9 15 39:46 37
17 Epinal 34 6 12 16 39:53 30
18 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 4 15 15 22:44 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)