Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Lucon vs Frejus Saint Raphael

France France

National 2015/2016
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Gbelle G.
8' Event
Orinel M. A.
42'
Balde Y.

AI Match Summary

The National 2015/2016 game between Lucon and Frejus Saint Raphael finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lucon
15%
Draws
73%
Frejus Saint Raphael
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Frejus Saint Raphael

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Frejus Saint Raphael have managed 1.23 goals a game lately — Lucon are scoring more at 1.3.
  • Frejus Saint Raphael are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular National 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Lucon Clean Sheet 22%
Frejus Saint Raphael Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucon Frejus Saint Raphael
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.3 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.67 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2016 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Frejus Saint Raphael
2:1
Aug 21, 2015 Ligue 3
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Lucon
3:2
Apr 7, 2015 Ligue 3
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Lucon
0:0
Sep 5, 2014 Ligue 3
Lucon vs Frejus Saint Raphael
0:2
Feb 28, 2014 Ligue 3
Frejus Saint Raphael vs Lucon
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Lucon Compare

Top Goalscorer Gbelle G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ringayen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Frejus Saint Raphael Compare

Top Goalscorer Orinel M. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucon 13 / 100
Frejus Saint Raphael 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucon Frejus Saint Raphael

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Frejus Saint Raphael Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Frejus Saint Raphael's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Lucon's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Frejus Saint Raphael lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Frejus Saint Raphael
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 1.75
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucon

(Home)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 6

Frejus Saint Raphael

(Away)
19 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 4
GOAL FC
12 Sept
Toulon
3 : 1
Frejus Saint Raphael
05 Sept
Frejus Saint Raphael
2 : 0
Andrezieux
29 Aug
Nimes
3 : 0
Frejus Saint Raphael
22 Aug
Frejus Saint Raphael
3 : 0
Saint Priest
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Strasbourg 34 15 13 6 35:19 58
2 Orleans 34 14 14 6 50:37 56
3 Amiens SC 34 14 13 7 44:35 55
4 Athletico Marseille 34 15 9 10 50:43 54
5 Chateauroux 34 14 10 10 52:45 52
6 Dunkerque 34 12 11 11 42:42 47
7 Avranches 34 10 16 8 44:36 46
8 Boulogne 34 12 10 12 50:45 46
9 Chambly 34 11 11 12 46:40 44
10 Beziers 34 11 11 12 35:38 44
11 Lucon 34 11 11 12 45:50 44
12 Sedan 34 10 13 11 31:34 43
13 Borgo 34 10 13 11 29:33 43
14 Belfort 34 9 14 11 26:32 41
15 Les Herbiers 34 8 15 11 44:51 39
16 Colmar 34 10 9 15 39:46 37
17 Epinal 34 6 12 16 39:53 30
18 Frejus Saint Raphael 34 4 15 15 22:44 27
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2016/2017 (Main)