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Stadium Background

Lucon vs Montlucon

France France

CFA - Group C 2008/2009
Lucon Logo

Lucon

3 - 1
FT
Montlucon Logo

Montlucon

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CFA - Group C 2008/2009 game between Lucon and Montlucon finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Lucon.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Lucon
15%
Draws
73%
Montlucon
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Montlucon

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Montlucon come out ahead of Lucon on wins alone.
  • Montlucon are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Lucon Clean Sheet 19%
Montlucon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Lucon Montlucon
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 8 11
Draws 10 8
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.29 1.23
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2010 National 1 - Group C
Lucon vs Montlucon
1:1
Sep 12, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Lucon
2:1
Feb 14, 2009 National 1 - Group C
Lucon vs Montlucon
3:1
Dec 13, 2008 Coupe de France
Montlucon vs Lucon
1:0
Aug 30, 2008 National 1 - Group C
Montlucon vs Lucon
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Lucon 10 / 100
Montlucon 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Lucon Montlucon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Montlucon Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Lucon scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Montlucon let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Away concern: Montlucon has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Lucon VS Montlucon
2 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Lucon

(Home)
13 Nov
Lucon
0 : 2
Laval
03 Jun
Lucon
3 : 3
Les Herbiers
27 May
Beziers
1 : 0
Lucon
13 May
Lucon
1 : 5
Orleans
06 May
Dunkerque
5 : 1
Lucon
Page 1 of 7

Montlucon

(Away)
13 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Bergerac
17 Nov
Montlucon
0 : 1
Viry-Chatillon
20 Nov
Montlucon
1 : 2
Angouleme CFC
29 May
Montlucon
4 : 2
Toulouse Fontaines Club
22 May
PSG II
1 : 6
Montlucon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Luzenac 34 20 9 5 59:26 103
2 Moulins 34 18 8 8 56:41 96
3 Pau 34 17 9 8 42:25 94
4 Fontenay 34 16 9 9 37:32 91
5 Moulins-Yzeure 34 15 9 10 60:43 88
6 Bordeaux II 34 14 10 10 41:35 86
7 Le Mans II 34 12 12 10 35:33 82
8 Romorantin 34 13 10 11 49:49 82
9 Lucon 34 12 11 11 39:37 81
10 Aurillac 34 10 14 10 48:44 78
11 Colomiers 34 9 14 11 33:32 75
12 Montlucon 34 9 12 13 43:54 73
13 Balma 34 9 9 16 47:54 70
14 Albi 34 10 6 18 27:42 70
15 Genets 34 9 8 17 35:53 69
16 Chatellerault 34 7 13 14 50:66 68
17 Stade Bordelais 34 7 11 16 27:47 66
18 Bergerac 34 4 16 14 32:47 62
Promotion - National 2009/2010 (Main)