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Bulgaria

Vtora liga 2025/2026 PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre

Ludogorets II

3 - 1

Gorna

Our Tip

Match Events

Chakarov A.

23'

Syrov E.

27'

Yanev N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Vtora liga 2025/2026 game between Ludogorets II and Gorna finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets II.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Ludogorets II

Draws

Gorna

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ludogorets II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Ludogorets II carry the better recent record into this one.
90% — that's where the model lands on Ludogorets II taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Ludogorets II Clean Sheet 68%

Gorna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ludogorets II	Gorna
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	13	7
Draws	8	6
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	1.63	0.88
Goals Conceded	0.88	2.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.88	2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 11, 2026 Vtora liga

Ludogorets II vs Gorna

Possession: 41% - 41% Cards: 0 - 3

3:1

Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly

Ludogorets II vs Gorna

Possession: 51% - 60% Cards: 1 - 1

5:0

Nov 8, 2025 Vtora liga

Gorna vs Ludogorets II

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 2 - 4

0:1

Jan 18, 2025 Club Friendly

Gorna vs Ludogorets II

Possession: 58% - 58% Cards: 1 - 0

1:1

Dec 5, 2024 Vtora liga

Gorna vs Ludogorets II

Possession: 48% - 51% Cards: 1 - 2

2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets II Compare

Top Goalscorer Syrov E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Nikolov K.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Gorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Paskov P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets II 95 / 100

Gorna 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ludogorets II Gorna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Gorna conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Ludogorets II found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Solid form: Ludogorets II remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets II VS Gorna

1.63 Goals Scored 0.88

0.88 Goals Conceded 2.5

63% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 88%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dunav Ruse	32	20	9	3	53:16	69
2	Yantra Gabrovo	32	18	10	4	45:24	64
3	Fratria	32	18	9	5	61:29	63
4	Vihren	32	17	7	8	59:34	58
5	CSKA Sofia II	32	16	7	9	57:32	55
6	Chernomorets 1919	32	11	13	8	38:32	46
7	Etar	32	11	11	10	39:43	44
8	Ludogorets II	32	11	8	13	41:43	41
9	Marek	32	10	11	11	27:35	41
10	Hebar	32	11	7	14	41:51	40
11	Pirin Blagoevgrad	32	9	11	12	38:41	38
12	Spartak Pleven	32	9	8	15	37:45	35
13	Svoge	32	9	7	16	28:48	34
14	Gorna	32	8	9	15	33:52	33
15	Sevlievo	32	9	5	18	29:52	32
16	Minyor Pernik	32	7	9	16	32:45	30
17	Belasitsa Petrich	32	4	7	21	26:62	19