Sport Picks
Ludogorets II vs Nesebar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Bulgaria
Vtora liga PFC Ludogorets 1945 Training Centre, Razgrad 
AI Match Summary
Ludogorets II host Nesebar in the Vtora liga. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Ludogorets II at 1.29 goals for, 1.07 against; Nesebar at 2.52 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Ludogorets II have won 2 to Nesebar's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 1, 2026, ending 1:1. xG projections (1.25 - 1.19) back Nesebar to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Nesebar carry the better recent record into this one.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Ludogorets II taking it.
- Regular Vtora liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ludogorets II | Nesebar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 10 | 16 |
| Draws | 10 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.29 | 2.52 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.14 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.
Ludogorets II scored in 71% of their last 28 games.
Defensive concern: Nesebar conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.
Recent resilience: Ludogorets II stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Ludogorets II
(Home)Nesebar
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CSKA Sofia II | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Vihren | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 26:13 | 25 |
| 3 | Chernomorets 1919 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 22:9 | 25 |
| 4 | Fratria | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 17:10 | 22 |
| 5 | Beroe | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 21:16 | 21 |
| 6 | Hebar | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 29:21 | 20 |
| 7 | Yantra Gabrovo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 16:14 | 20 |
| 8 | Gorna | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 11:10 | 20 |
| 9 | Rilski Sportist | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | 19 |
| 10 | Marek | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:15 | 18 |
| 11 | Nesebar | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:19 | 18 |
| 12 | Spartak Pleven | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 14:24 | 17 |
| 13 | Etar | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 20:21 | 17 |
| 14 | Ludogorets II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 12:12 | 15 |
| 15 | Svoge | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 9:14 | 11 |
| 16 | Montana | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 15:26 | 11 |
| 17 | Dobrudzha | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:21 | 9 |
| 18 | Pirin Blagoevgrad | 13 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 5:36 | 1 |
