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Ludogorets III vs Aksakovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East game between Ludogorets III and Aksakovo finished 6-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Ludogorets III
20%
Draws
23%
Aksakovo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ludogorets III come out ahead of Aksakovo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Ludogorets III a 57% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Ludogorets III have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 20%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets III Aksakovo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 24 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 3 16
Goals Scored 3.43 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.7 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Aksakovo
6:1
Apr 15, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Aksakovo
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Ludogorets III
0:3
May 10, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Aksakovo
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Ludogorets III
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets III 85 / 100
Aksakovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets III Aksakovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets III found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (30 games).

Aksakovo let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Ludogorets III went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets III VS Aksakovo
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.88
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets III

(Home)
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6

Aksakovo

(Away)
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2
Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Cherno More II
3 : 1
Aksakovo
05 Sept
Aksakovo
1 : 4
Chernomorets Balchik
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1
Aksakovo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Svetkavitsa 2014 8 5 1 2 14:5 16
2 Ludogorets III 7 5 1 1 18:5 16
3 Volov Shumen 7 5 1 1 24:6 16
4 Chernolomets 7 4 2 1 16:6 14
5 Chernomorets Balchik 6 4 2 0 10:4 14
6 Septemvri Tervel 5 3 2 0 12:5 11
7 Benkovski 5 3 1 1 13:6 10
8 Cherno More II 7 3 1 3 11:7 10
9 Botev Novi Pazar 6 2 3 1 12:9 9
10 FK Riltzi 7 3 0 4 8:15 9
11 Fratria II 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
12 Septemvri Dragoevo 7 2 2 3 12:17 8
13 Devnya 2005 7 2 1 4 7:14 7
14 Olympic Varna 7 2 0 5 15:21 6
15 Aksakovo 6 1 1 4 9:20 4
16 Ustrem Donchevo 8 0 1 7 13:26 1
17 Dorostol 6 0 1 5 4:17 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)