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Ludogorets III vs Aksakovo

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East
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AI Match Summary

Ludogorets III in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Ludogorets III
6%
Draws
4%
Aksakovo
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Aksakovo haven't matched Ludogorets III's recent run of results.
  • Ludogorets III are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Ludogorets III have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 20%
Aksakovo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets III Aksakovo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 9
Draws 4 4
Losses 3 17
Goals Scored 3.88 1.25
Goals Conceded 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Aksakovo
1:0
Oct 11, 2025 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Ludogorets III
0:3
May 10, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Aksakovo
1:1
Nov 9, 2024 Third League - North-East
Aksakovo vs Ludogorets III
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets III 85 / 100
Aksakovo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets III Aksakovo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ludogorets III scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Aksakovo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ludogorets III has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets III VS Aksakovo
3.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets III

(Home)
30 May
Benkovski
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
24 May
Ludogorets III
3 : 1
Chernolomets
20 May
Septemvri Tervel
0 : 1
Ludogorets III
16 May
Svetkavitsa
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 May
Ludogorets III
8 : 0
Olympic Varna
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Aksakovo

(Away)
30 May
Chernomorets Balchik
3 : 0
Aksakovo
24 May
Aksakovo
3 : 1
Fratria II
16 May
FK Riltzi
1 : 1
Aksakovo
13 May
Aksakovo
0 : 1
Benkovski
09 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0
Aksakovo
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Chernomorets Balchik32274192:1485
2Ludogorets III322543101:1979
3Septemvri Tervel32253489:2278
4Volov Shumen32233693:2872
5Chernolomets32203978:4363
6Benkovski32186868:4060
7Cherno More II32167965:4455
8Ustrem Donchevo321731273:6754
9Olympic Varna321061658:8036
10Aksakovo32941940:6831
11Fratria II32861840:7130
12Svetkavitsa 201432781726:4829
13Botev Novi Pazar32851934:6929
14Dorostol32842029:6728
15Spartak Varna II32752042:7226
16FK Riltzi32642231:8322
17Svetkavitsa3201315:1291
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