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Ludogorets III vs Chernolomets

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2025/2026 game between Ludogorets III and Chernolomets finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Ludogorets III
30%
Draws
31%
Chernolomets
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ludogorets III come out ahead of Chernolomets on wins alone.
  • 39% — that's where the model lands on Ludogorets III taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 20%
Chernolomets Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets III Chernolomets
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 23 16
Draws 3 4
Losses 2 8
Goals Scored 3.64 2.25
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.63 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Chernolomets
3:1
Nov 29, 2025 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Ludogorets III
0:3
Feb 26, 2025 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Chernolomets
0:1
Aug 17, 2024 Third League - North-East
Chernolomets vs Ludogorets III
1:0
Feb 25, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Chernolomets
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets III 85 / 100
Chernolomets 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets III Chernolomets

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Ludogorets III scored in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Chernolomets has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ludogorets III has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets III VS Chernolomets
3.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets III

(Home)
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1
Aksakovo
22 Aug
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Cherno More II
30 May
Benkovski
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
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Chernolomets

(Away)
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3
Chernolomets
29 Aug
Chernolomets
1 : 1
Aksakovo
26 Aug
Cherno More II
4 : 1
Chernolomets
22 Aug
Chernolomets
0 : 0
Chernomorets Balchik
30 May
Chernolomets
3 : 0
Dorostol
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chernomorets Balchik 32 27 4 1 92:14 85
2 Ludogorets III 32 25 4 3 101:19 79
3 Septemvri Tervel 32 25 3 4 89:22 78
4 Volov Shumen 32 23 3 6 93:28 72
5 Chernolomets 32 20 3 9 78:43 63
6 Benkovski 32 18 6 8 68:40 60
7 Cherno More II 32 16 7 9 65:44 55
8 Ustrem Donchevo 32 17 3 12 73:67 54
9 Olympic Varna 32 10 6 16 58:80 36
10 Aksakovo 32 9 4 19 40:68 31
11 Fratria II 32 8 6 18 40:71 30
12 Svetkavitsa 2014 32 7 8 17 26:48 29
13 Botev Novi Pazar 32 8 5 19 34:69 29
14 Dorostol 32 8 4 20 29:67 28
15 Spartak Varna II 32 7 5 20 42:72 26
16 FK Riltzi 32 6 4 22 31:83 22
17 Svetkavitsa 32 0 1 31 5:129 1
Promotion - Vtora liga 2025/2026 (Main)