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Ludogorets III vs Lokomotiv Ruse Prediction & H2H Stats

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Third League - North-East 2023/2024 game between Ludogorets III and Lokomotiv Ruse finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ludogorets III.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

65%
Ludogorets III
15%
Draws
20%
Lokomotiv Ruse
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ludogorets III carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Ludogorets III are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Third League - North-East 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Ludogorets III have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 20%
Lokomotiv Ruse Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets III Lokomotiv Ruse
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 30 3
Draws 3 6
Losses 3 20
Goals Scored 3.5 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.64 2.66
Expected Goals (xG) 2.60 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2024 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Lokomotiv Ruse
4:1
Dec 2, 2023 Third League - North-East
Lokomotiv Ruse vs Ludogorets III
0:1
Feb 26, 2023 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Lokomotiv Ruse
6:2
Aug 21, 2022 Third League - North-East
Lokomotiv Ruse vs Ludogorets III
2:3
Mar 19, 2022 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Lokomotiv Ruse
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets III 85 / 100
Lokomotiv Ruse 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets III Lokomotiv Ruse

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets III scored in 92% of their last 36 games.

Lokomotiv Ruse's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Ludogorets III stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets III VS -
4 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets III

(Home)
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Volov Shumen
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3
Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 8

Lokomotiv Ruse

(Away)
01 Jun
Kubrat
2 : 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
26 May
Lokomotiv Ruse
0 : 4
Septemvri Tervel
18 May
Chernolomets
6 : 2
Lokomotiv Ruse
01 May
Fratria
5 : 1
Lokomotiv Ruse
27 Apr
Lokomotiv Ruse
2 : 1
Ustrem Donchevo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 26 19 4 3 69:16 61
2 Fratria 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Septemvri Tervel 26 18 4 4 52:19 58
4 Cherno More II 26 16 8 2 49:17 56
5 Chernolomets 26 17 2 7 54:31 53
6 Spartak Varna II 26 16 2 8 66:27 50
7 Benkovski 26 11 2 13 48:45 35
8 Dorostol 26 10 4 12 36:50 34
9 FK Riltzi 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Ustrem Donchevo 26 7 4 15 36:58 25
11 Svetkavitsa 26 4 7 15 26:54 19
12 Dunav Ruse II 26 4 4 18 26:64 16
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 26 2 5 19 22:73 11
14 Kubrat 26 2 0 24 10:86 6
15 Shumen 2007 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sportist Toshevo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)