Sport Picks
Ludogorets III vs Olympic Varna
Bulgaria
Third League - North-East 
AI Match Summary
Ludogorets III in this Third League - North-East matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ludogorets III.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ludogorets III
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Ludogorets III lately — more wins on the board than Olympic Varna.
- Win probability leans Ludogorets III's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Ludogorets III here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 14%
Olympic Varna Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Ludogorets III | Olympic Varna |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 24 | 9 |
| Draws | 3 | 4 |
| Losses | 3 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 3.43 | 1.9 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.7 | 2.73 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Olympic Varna
5:1
May 13, 2026 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Olympic Varna
8:0
Nov 15, 2025 Third League - North-East
Olympic Varna vs Ludogorets III
2:7
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Ludogorets III 84 / 100
Olympic Varna 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Ludogorets III Olympic Varna
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Ludogorets III scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.
Olympic Varna let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 7.67 goals per match.
Olympic Varna lost 5 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Ludogorets III VS Olympic Varna
2.13 Goals Scored 2.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Ludogorets III
(Home) 26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Volov Shumen
19 Sept
FK Riltzi
0 : 3 Ludogorets III
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0 Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0 Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1 Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Volov Shumen
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1 Olympic Varna
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1 Aksakovo
22 Aug
Ludogorets III
2 : 1 Cherno More II
24 May
Ludogorets III
3 : 1 Chernolomets
Page 1 of 3
Olympic Varna
(Away) 26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2 Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3 Olympic Varna
05 Sept
Olympic Varna
1 : 3 Chernolomets
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1 Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Aksakovo
3 : 2 Olympic Varna
20 Sept
Cherno More II
2 : 0 Olympic Varna
12 Sept
Chernomorets Balchik
4 : 3 Olympic Varna
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1 Olympic Varna
22 Aug
Ustrem Donchevo
3 : 4 Olympic Varna
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Svetkavitsa 2014 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 16 |
| 2 | Ludogorets III | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Volov Shumen | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 24:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Chernolomets | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 16:6 | 14 |
| 5 | Chernomorets Balchik | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 14 |
| 6 | Septemvri Tervel | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12:5 | 11 |
| 7 | Benkovski | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:6 | 10 |
| 8 | Cherno More II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:7 | 10 |
| 9 | Botev Novi Pazar | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12:9 | 9 |
| 10 | FK Riltzi | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 8:15 | 9 |
| 11 | Fratria II | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 9:24 | 9 |
| 12 | Septemvri Dragoevo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:17 | 8 |
| 13 | Devnya 2005 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | 7 |
| 14 | Olympic Varna | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:21 | 6 |
| 15 | Aksakovo | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9:20 | 4 |
| 16 | Ustrem Donchevo | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 13:26 | 1 |
| 17 | Dorostol | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:17 | 1 |
Promotion - Vtora liga 2027/2028 (Main)
