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Stadium Background

Ludogorets III vs Shumen 2007

Bulgaria Bulgaria

Third League - North-East 2023/2024 Huvepharma Arena, Razgrad
Sat, Sep 16, 2023
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ludogorets III host Shumen 2007 in the Third League - North-East 2023/2024. Ludogorets III are expected to control this from the start. Ludogorets III have averaged 3.54 scored and 0.62 conceded recently, against Shumen 2007's 0.8 scored and 2.87 conceded. Past meetings favor Ludogorets III slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 16, 2023, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.98 vs 0.94, favoring Ludogorets III. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Ludogorets III
20%
Draws
33%
Shumen 2007
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ludogorets III

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ludogorets III carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ludogorets III a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Ludogorets III Clean Sheet 20%
Shumen 2007 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets III Shumen 2007
Matches Played 37 15
Wins 31 3
Draws 3 1
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 3.54 0.8
Goals Conceded 0.62 2.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2023 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Shumen 2007
0:0
Apr 1, 2023 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Ludogorets III
0:4
Sep 25, 2022 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Shumen 2007
3:0
May 7, 2022 Third League - North-East
Ludogorets III vs Shumen 2007
4:0
Oct 23, 2021 Third League - North-East
Shumen 2007 vs Ludogorets III
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets III 85 / 100
Shumen 2007 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets III Shumen 2007

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets III Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ludogorets III scored in 92% of their last 37 games.

Defensive concern: Shumen 2007 conceded in 87% of 15 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Ludogorets III went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets III VS -
2.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets III

(Home)
13 Sept
Svetkavitsa 2014
1 : 0
Ludogorets III
05 Sept
Botev Novi Pazar
0 : 0
Ludogorets III
30 Aug
Ludogorets III
5 : 1
Olympic Varna
26 Aug
Ludogorets III
6 : 1
Aksakovo
22 Aug
Ludogorets III
2 : 1
Cherno More II
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Shumen 2007

(Away)
03 Jun
Chernolomets
8 : 0
Shumen 2007
21 May
Shumen 2007
3 : 2
Botev Novi Pazar
14 May
Dunav Ruse II
0 : 1
Shumen 2007
06 May
Shumen 2007
0 : 0
Dorostol
30 Apr
Ustrem Donchevo
4 : 1
Shumen 2007
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ludogorets III 26 19 4 3 69:16 61
2 Fratria 26 19 4 3 71:20 61
3 Septemvri Tervel 26 18 4 4 52:19 58
4 Cherno More II 26 16 8 2 49:17 56
5 Chernolomets 26 17 2 7 54:31 53
6 Spartak Varna II 26 16 2 8 66:27 50
7 Benkovski 26 11 2 13 48:45 35
8 Dorostol 26 10 4 12 36:50 34
9 FK Riltzi 26 9 6 11 40:45 33
10 Ustrem Donchevo 26 7 4 15 36:58 25
11 Svetkavitsa 26 4 7 15 26:54 19
12 Dunav Ruse II 26 4 4 18 26:64 16
13 Lokomotiv Ruse 26 2 5 19 22:73 11
14 Kubrat 26 2 0 24 10:86 6
15 Shumen 2007 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
16 Sportist Toshevo 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Vtora liga 2024/2025 (Main)