Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ludogorets U19 vs Arsenal U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 Vivacom Arena Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
Our Tip

Match Events

33'
Kovachev S.
33' Event
Nelson R.
Assist: Malen D.
46'
Sub
Bola M. In: Mourgos S.
Out: Bola M.

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 game between Ludogorets U19 and Arsenal U19 finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ludogorets U19
15%
Draws
39%
Arsenal U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ludogorets U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arsenal U19 come out ahead of Ludogorets U19 on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Ludogorets U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Arsenal U19 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ludogorets U19 Arsenal U19
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 2 6
Draws 3 6
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.45 1.17
Goals Conceded 2.9 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Ludogorets U19 vs Arsenal U19
1:1
Oct 19, 2016 UEFA Youth League
Arsenal U19 vs Ludogorets U19
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ludogorets U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Petrov P. I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Arsenal U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Nelson R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ludogorets U19 31 / 100
Arsenal U19 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ludogorets U19 Arsenal U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ludogorets U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Arsenal U19 conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Ludogorets U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Arsenal U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ludogorets U19 VS Arsenal U19
0.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ludogorets U19

(Home)
05 Nov
Ludogorets U19
0 : 2
Din. Minsk U19
01 Nov
Din. Minsk U19
0 : 1
Ludogorets U19
08 Oct
Ludogorets U19
0 : 2
Din. Minsk U19
04 Oct
Din. Minsk U19
0 : 1
Ludogorets U19
23 Oct
Ludogorets U19
1 : 1
Slovan Bratislava U19
Page 1 of 4

Arsenal U19

(Away)
09 Sept
Napoli U19
1 : 2
Arsenal U19
10 Dec
Club Brugge U19
2 : 1
Arsenal U19
26 Nov
Arsenal U19
4 : 2
Bayern U19
04 Nov
Slavia Prague U19
5 : 1
Arsenal U19
21 Oct
Arsenal U19
3 : 4
Atl. Madrid U19
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSG U19 6 4 2 0 21:7 14
2 Basel U19 6 3 1 2 11:9 10
3 Arsenal U19 6 1 4 1 8:6 7
4 Ludogorets U19 6 0 1 5 3:21 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dynamo Kyiv U19 6 5 1 0 16:7 16
2 Benfica U19 6 3 1 2 10:6 10
3 Napoli U19 6 1 1 4 6:13 4
4 Besiktas U19 6 0 3 3 6:12 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Barcelona U19 6 5 0 1 13:5 15
2 Manchester City U19 6 4 0 2 13:7 12
3 B. Monchengladbach U19 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Celtic U19 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PSV U19 6 4 1 1 16:2 13
2 Atl. Madrid U19 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
3 Bayern U19 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
4 FK Rostov U19 6 0 0 6 3:21 0
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CSKA Moscow U19 6 4 1 1 15:6 13
2 Monaco U19 6 4 0 2 10:14 12
3 Leverkusen U19 6 2 0 4 9:10 6
4 Tottenham U19 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Madrid U19 6 4 1 1 15:10 13
2 Dortmund U19 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
3 Sporting CP U19 6 1 3 2 6:9 6
4 Legia U19 6 1 2 3 10:12 5
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 FC Porto U19 6 4 0 2 12:8 12
2 FC Copenhagen U19 6 3 1 2 12:10 10
3 Club Brugge U19 6 3 1 2 8:9 10
4 Leicester U19 6 1 0 5 9:14 3
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sevilla U19 6 3 1 2 9:8 10
2 Juventus U19 6 3 0 3 8:5 9
3 Lyon U19 6 3 0 3 6:7 9
4 Din. Zagreb U19 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)
Promotion - UEFA Youth League 2016/2017 (Play Offs)